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Strategies & Market Trends : Zeev's Turnips - No Politics -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Justa Werkenstiff who wrote (8198)11/26/2001 5:00:53 PM
From: orkrious  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 99280
 
I guess we are runnin' on rally fumes.


Justa, here is another view. The question is, how long are they going to play muscial chairs hoping they are not the last person left standing?

Herb Greenberg
semi equipment
11/26/01 2:50 PM ET
Goldman out with a fascinating note that pretty much explains what is going on with semi equipment and other tech stocks: "We were out meeting with
investors last week and came away surprised with the uniformity of
short-term focus that is pervading investors’ mindsets as we approach
year-end. Essentially, the investment community has an even greater than
normal paranoia about performance as this tumultuous year comes to a
close. The desire to load up on beta (combined with a number of supply-chain
build related positive semi data points) has generated a significant positive bid to the semi equipment stocks. Few investors with whom we met believe there are any fundamental reasons to own semi equipment names. Most agree that valuations are still way out of line with where we are in the cycle and that the downturn is likely to either take another leg downward as technology buys dry up and/or last longer than the broader market currently contemplates."

I'm still back on the line that investors can't see "any fundamental reasons to own" these stocks, yet they do because they're going up and they need to show them in their portfolios. The ultimate in herd mentality. Safety in numbers. Wild. hg



To: Justa Werkenstiff who wrote (8198)11/26/2001 8:32:18 PM
From: lh56  Respond to of 99280
 
there's another peculiar correlation w/tmsc: ccmp. they've had a strong day. my question is: if demand for wafer polishing slurries is up, wouldn't that indicate a demand ramp in ic's overall? we know, of course, it isn't. but, it would be interesting to get a closer look at cabot's order book.