U.S. stocks to open lower on economic worries 20:13, Wednesday, 28 November 2001
(Updates prices, adds details)
By Haitham Haddadin
NEW YORK, Nov 28 (Reuters) - Stocks are set to fall at the open on Wednesday as investors worry that a two-month run-up on Wall Street may not be justified by economic fundamentals.
"The market's rallied for two months, up tremendously off the bottom," said Prudential Securities analyst Larry Wachtel. "It's going to shake out. It's overbought and was going to shake out. Throw any number at it or any piece of news, and it was going to do that and it's continuing."
Stocks fell on Tuesday as consumer confidence dropped for a fifth consecutive month in November, spurring investors to sell on fears the recent Wall Street rally had gone too far, too fast. The rally from three-year lows hit on Sept. 21, in the wake of the attacks on the World Trade Center and the Pentagon, has lifted major indexes between 20 and 35 percent.
Anecdotal evidence of potential further weakness is expected later in the day when the Federal Reserve's beige book on regional economic activity is issued at 2 p.m. (1900 GMT).
"It will tell us exactly what we all know, that the economy continues to soften and that doesn't' prevent the Fed from cutting interest rates," said Wachtel. "All the beige book will tell us is that the economy is in recession."
Early on Wednesday equity index futures suggested stocks were headed for a lower open. December futures for the S&P 500 index fell 6.50 points to 1,144 while futures for the Nasdaq 100 shed 20.50 points to 1,595.50, signaling a decline of about 1.25 percent at the open. Futures for the Dow Jones industrials shed 55 points at 9,825.
The indicative Dow Jones industrial average <.DJII>, which is based on prices of Dow stocks trading in Germany's Deutsche Boerse U.S. market segment, fell 20.90 points, or 0.30 percent, to 9,842.70.
The Nasdaq-100 pre-market indicator fell 11.29 points or 0.70 percent, based on trading ahead of the open in the tech-laden index's biggest stocks.
It is unclear when the United States will climb out of recession but a rebound likely will come in the near future, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis President William Poole said late on Tuesday.
Poole said he expected the struggling U.S. economy to rebound within a matter of months or quarters, but did not provide a more specific timeline for a turnaround.
Poole's comments came a day after a panel of economists at the National Bureau of Economic Research announced that the United States was in a recession that began in March. The panel is considered the official arbiter of U.S. business cycles.
Among the big earlier movers, SRI/Surgical Express Inc. <STRC.O> tanked after the medical supplies company said it restated third-quarter results, cutting reported earnings below Wall Street estimates. It also said it lost customers and failed to expand business as it had anticipated.
SRI/Surgical shares plunged to $15 in pre-open U.S. trading vs. a close of $24.98 on Tuesday.
Shares of beleaguered energy trade Enron Corp. <ENE.N> fell to $3.80 from a close of $4.14 on the New York Stock Exchange. Enron and rival Dynegy Inc. <DYN.N> hammered away at new terms for their proposed merger late Tuesday, and sources said talks included a buyout offer half the original price.
Sources close to the negotiations said the new stock-exchange ratio is likely to fall into the range of 0.12 to 0.15 Dynegy shares for each Enron share, and Enron had tentatively accepted the lower end of that range. But a source cautioned that the talks were still very active and the terms very fluid.
In other news, Texas Instruments Inc. <TXN.N> expects fourth-quarter revenues to be down about 10 percent from the third quarter, and sees a fourth-quarter loss of about 9 cents per share, Chief Executive Officer Tom Engibous said late on Tuesday, reconfirming the company's earlier guidance. Shares closed at $32.58 on Tuesday.
Internet content delivery provider Akamai Technologies Inc. <AKAM.O> early on Wednesday said fourth quarter losses should fall within estimates and its previously stated guidance. Akamai's shares rose to $6.33 pre-open vs. a close of $6.27.
Flextronics International Ltd. <FLEX.O> headed higher after the contract manufacturer said business was "good" and it was comfortable with quarterly estimates. Shares rose to $26 pre-open from its Nasdaq close of $25.55.
In overseas markets, European stocks slipped back by mid-morning on Wednesday as weaker overnight equity prices on Wall Street and in Asia added to gloom over the timetable for global economic recovery.
Prices held their ground in early trade but then surrendered. By 1013 GMT, the FTSE Eurotop 300 index of pan-European blue chips was off 0.98 percent and the narrower DJ Euro Stoxx 50 index was 1.02 percent lower.
Tokyo's Nikkei average closed nearly 3 percent lower on Wednesday after another corporate failure hurt sentiment and a retreat on Wall Street prompted profit-taking in high-tech issues including Canon <7751.T>.
"Just as we had rallied sharply and foreign markets rallied sharply, they are pulling back this morning and we are pulling back," Wachtel said. "The market is going to open lower and probably go into a profit-taking phase for the next couple of days."
On Tuesday, the blue-chip Dow Jones industrial average <.DJI> fell 110.15 points, or 1.10 percent, to end at 9,872.60. The Nasdaq Composite Index <.IXIC> shed 5.26 points, or 0.27 percent, to 1,935.97 and the broad Standard & Poor's 500 Index <.SPX> lost 7.92 points, or 0.68 percent, at 1,149.50. ((Wall Street Desk, 646-223-6114))
(c) Reuters Limited 2001 REUTER NEWS SERVICE |