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Gold/Mining/Energy : Enron - Natural Gas Industry -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: ms.smartest.person who wrote (744)11/28/2001 8:36:21 AM
From: James Calladine  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 1433
 
PERSONAL SPECULATION:

In the various reports thus far, we hear these themes repetitively:

-- DYN's major interest is the trading arm of ENE
-- that business is being progressively "worked around"
by others in the field for obvious reasons
-- new money coming in to ENE is being secured by assets
of one kind or another
-- downgrading of ENE debt is deferred or postponed, but
COULD happen. The rating agencies are "team players",
I am sure, but at some point their reputation is at
stake
-- law suits on behalf of shareholders, employees, others
proliferate

My personal guess is that (in the trading field), ENE is not exactly universally loved, and that their competitors could indeed live in a world MINUS Enron. As more time goes on the competition is in a better and better position to unwind existing trades with ENE, thus diminishing the chief asset that DYN claims is the main attraction.

More and more this looks to me like:

-- the big financial institutions lining up enough "sucker
money" to take themselves out as best as possible
-- DYN remaking its deal again for assets only
-- goodbye ENE

ENE trading at $3.75 now suggests something a little less than total confidence in the overnight developments.

Namaste!

Jim