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Technology Stocks : Intel Corporation (INTC) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: wanna_bmw who wrote (150414)	11/29/2001 4:52:00 PM
From: fingolfen	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 186894

I don't know about 9nm, but Intel has their 15nm node set for 2009. 9 nm seems like 2 generations later, and 2016 is certainly a long way away, but I am impressed that Intel has already demonstrated that 15nm is possible. I don't doubt that the industry will find some way of moving farther out in the future. The possibilities are endless. I've generally found that the committee tends to think future process generations are going to occur in three year cycles when the industry is actually moving in two year cycles. They did get on the wagon and move 90mn from 2005 to 2004, but it looks as if in actuality Intel will be there in early 2003. One of Marcyk's presentations posted here earlier this year (focused on the overall research going on at the RP1 facility), indicated the 15-16nm transistor will show up in the 32nm node in 2009. A 9nm transistor would be closer to the next generation (the 22nm node) than the generation after next (the 16nm node). That would put it at roughly 2011. Once you get into that size regime, you're only about half a sneeze from quantum computing.