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To: Uncle Frank who wrote (109118)11/30/2001 7:35:32 AM
From: JohnG  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 152472
 
Speculation that QCOM will invest in Nextel as aid to moveing Nextel to CDMA2000 1X

Cellular carriers: no single standard in sight
By Don Carros
November 28,2001

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Having learned their lessons from previous-generation cellular deployments, U.S.-based carriers are
converging on two key technology standards: GPRS/EDGE and CDMA 1xRTT. North America will
still not have a single standard for cellular service. The migration of AT&T Wireless, Cingular, and
VoiceStream to GPRS/EDGE technologies is a significant development in both domestic and
international standardization. However, next-generation cellular (2.5G) rollouts will not be complete
until 2003/04 on a per-network basis, and enterprise users must ensure adequate coverage before
adopting the new services.

Furthermore, reliable digital roaming services between these networks will not be achieved until
2004/05. For users looking for mobile data, the bad news is that carriers are charging by the
megabyte in early implementations of their 2.5G networks, a trend that META Group expects to
continue until 2004/05. META also expects many carriers to switch to packet voice (from current
circuit-switched voice) and offer enhanced services, including simultaneous voice and data,
name/number dialing, and so on (2006+).

Although GPRS/EDGE has the greatest momentum, several key carriers will hold out and rapidly
deploy CDMA 1xRTT services, moving ahead of the GPRS/EDGE networks by a full year. Sprint,
Verizon, and Nextel (driven by a major investment from Qualcomm) are the top networks
migrating to CDMA 1xRTT for their next-generation services. Nextel's iDEN service (a combination
radio dispatch/full duplex system popular with municipalities and services companies) will migrate
to the CDMA network from its current TDMA implementation. These migrations will be completed
by 2002 (a full year earlier than AT&T Wireless, Cingular, and VoiceStream), with digital roaming
available during 2003/04 and enhanced services in 2006+.

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techupdate.zdnet.com