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Strategies & Market Trends : Zeev's Turnips - No Politics -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: MSI who wrote (9747)12/1/2001 1:39:30 AM
From: LTK007  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 99280
 
i am in the Secular Bear Camp until proven otherwise---my only comments i can throw out at this moment(time factor at work:);is this,we are trying to fight our way out of the looming threat of a longterm recession just as the european sector and asian sectors are signaling a worsening slowdown(the triple whammy threat).
Our need and the global need is and has been the continuous spend spend spend motif of american consumer based economics.
The drawback is this demand on the american consumer is at a time ,on average,that their debt load is significant.
So it boils down to "PLEEEESE! americans for the sake of the world itself--go into deeper debt--forget yourself and your future and just spend!" And i say,whew!,wait a minute;we constitute maybe 6% of the world population,are we americans naught but the world's cash cow and if we should slow up in our desire to be milked the globe itself goes into recession? And with that i then respond "mama mia aren't we skating on thin ice".
So in singularly non-scholarly expressed terms that's about it for now.Max



To: MSI who wrote (9747)12/1/2001 8:05:33 AM
From: getanewlife  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 99280
 
"After all, an information economy can expand indefinitely, when you get past basic food/shelter and start selling intellectual property back and forth"

The problem with this 'go to da moon' imagination, which was why the nasdaq went to 5000 and why we are no here, is the people do not have to buy these new economy 'products'. Once we move away from the mother nature, she will 'pull' us back. The communists tried to have a controlled economy and also tried to change human nature. You know how that went. We have no respect for laws of nature and market, no respect for history and historic valuation, just because we could keeping printing and liquidating?! Well, we will in due time have ourselves liquidated!!!

Respectfully yours,
gf