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Strategies & Market Trends : John Pitera's Market Laboratory -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Jacob Snyder who wrote (5176)12/1/2001 10:23:27 PM
From: Davy Crockett  Respond to of 33421
 
I have noticed that on many charts... & just not tech.

Should be very interesting to see how the 21 dma & 200 dma resolves itself...

Regards,
Peter



To: Jacob Snyder who wrote (5176)12/2/2001 12:25:18 AM
From: Hawkmoon  Respond to of 33421
 
Yeah... but that MACD looks to be turning negative.

My bet is, and I'm probably going to be wrong, is that it retraces back down to the 50dayMA.

And it will probably break it with a target of 480.

stockcharts.com[w,a]daclyymy[d20000101,20011201][pb50!b200!b21!i!d20,2][vc60][iUb14!La12,26,9]

Hawk



To: Jacob Snyder who wrote (5176)12/4/2001 8:28:06 AM
From: John Pitera  Respond to of 33421
 
Hi Jacob, you make very , very valid points... when we get to these types of crossroads, it's often best to
reduce our "Suppositions" of what we think the market should do and listen and watch how the market
handles that selling that should be coming in here.

Right now the XBD has broken back below it's 200 dma, but the NASD and SOX have so far held up well.

the 10 year yield and yield curve have moved back lower more than they might have which is a net plus.

The Fed really has helped out the equity market the past week. We had the big move in rates from 4.09
on the 10 year on 11-01-01 up to about 5.07 later in Nov, but the Fed has talked rates back down a bit, with
the inference of more Fed Funds rate cutting.

The BKX plunged below it's 21 dma yesterday, and it reflects the potential strife out of Argentina.

stockcharts.com[h,a]daclyymy[dd][pb50!b200!b21!i][vc60][iUb14!La12,26,9]

I have not had a chance to talk about Argentina hear the past 2 weeks, but we'll have to talk about it a bit this
week.

Speaking of the BKX...look how profoundly weak it was the 3 to 4 weeks prior to 9-11-01, It's an excellent
leading indicator.

John