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Strategies & Market Trends : Zeev's Turnips - No Politics -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: DlphcOracl who wrote (10198)12/3/2001 8:19:21 PM
From: t2  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 99280
 
During the past few weeks, we've noticed a gradual deterioration in this indicator. After a small bounce in October and November, commercial traders are again aggressively shorting Nasdaq 100 futures.

Interesting comment from that article. A "gradual deterioration" in this indicator. That was my guess too. That is also part of my reason for believing that short interest has been heading higher since the mid November data. Commercials are probably trading based upon the market patterns since March 2000 (and that has been a great strategy). Sooner or later, it has to fail big time, imho....the odds get higher of this happening as overall short interest hits record after record almost every month.

Just a hunch; looking for a short term rally with some help from short covering.



To: DlphcOracl who wrote (10198)12/3/2001 8:25:21 PM
From: stomper  Respond to of 99280
 
It is worth following weekly:

cftc.gov



To: DlphcOracl who wrote (10198)12/3/2001 8:32:29 PM
From: mishedlo  Respond to of 99280
 
Ask an yee shall receive
Scroll down and find the S&P & Naz committments
Note that they are increasing their short position and covering longs but this is nothing like what we saw in the summer when they were hugely hugely short

Perhaps they will be long after the next shakeout
cftc.gov

Note that commercials are long gold for the first time that I can recall
cftc.gov

Bookmark these links as they are quite handy

M



To: DlphcOracl who wrote (10198)12/4/2001 12:46:51 AM
From: LTK007  Respond to of 99280
 
thanks for data DelphicOracle(saw a documentary on the Oracle of Delphi--very interesting).Regards Hays,he is going out on a limb,that is for sure.If Hays is the fellow that counts heavily on ARMS,then he was the one Richard Russell took to task for reading it wrong,in Russell's strong opinion--have that post somewhere..Max