To: Bill Harmond who wrote (135391 ) 12/6/2001 11:05:21 AM From: H James Morris Respond to of 164684 Bill, here's no lie. >CIOs Cautiously Optimistic on IT Spending BY LORRAINE COSGROVE WARE Despite reports of an official recession in the U.S. , companies will increase technology spending in a few key categories, according to the 259 executives surveyed in CIO's November Tech Poll. While CIOs don't expect significant pick-up in IT spending until post-Q2 of next year, IT budgets are expected to increase at rates not reported since July and August 2001. When asked about the outlook for IT spending in the next 12 months, panelists expected their IT budgets to grow by 5.3% — a 13% increase from November figures and a 43% rise from levels reported in September. Close to 40% of executives surveyed said they do not expect IT spending to ramp up until mid-year, while 20% see an increase in spending in the first quarter of 2002. CIO's Future Technology Growth Index, which measures the overall health of IT budgets and the significance of new economy technologies on IT spending in the coming 12 months, jumped 19% in November to 2.1, continuing its recovery from the post-September 11 low of 1.4. Increased spending on infrastructure and outsourcing expected The number of CIOs that plan to increase spending rose in three categories, including outsourced IT services, infrastructure software and e-business software. The percent of CIOs that will increase spending for outsourced IT services rose 19% from October to 31.1%. When asked about infrastructure software, the percent of respondents expecting to increase spending climbed eight points to 42%. The percent of panelists planning to increase spending in e-business software rose 27% to 41.9%. Green lights for Internet activity CIO's Tech Poll Internet spending indicators rose to levels not seen since early 2001. Planned investment in developing business over the Internet (B2B2C) as a percent of the overall IT budget climbed back up to 17.2% after dropping to 12.2% in the third quarter of this year. Panelists reported average Internet revenue at 9.4% of total revenue for the past 12 months — 27% over last month's figures. Going forward, expected revenue from the Internet as a percent of total revenue in the next 12 months jumped 33%, reaching 13.2% in November. Purchases over the Internet for the previous 12 months rose 28% to 16.8% — that figure had remained a relatively flat 13% since September. Internet purchases for the next 12 months are expected to grow 32%, accounting for 21.7% of total purchases, according to the 259 executives surveyed. Each month, CIO magazine in partnership with Ed Yardeni, chief investment strategist of Deutsche Banc Alex. Brown, surveys a panel of senior executives on current and future IT spending as well as other IT issues. In terms of title, 88% of panel members were CIOs and the remaining 12% were CEOs, CFOs, COOs or other members of senior management. Almost all (96%) of the panel members were based in North America. Companies included in CIO's Tech Poll represented a broad range of industries, including manufacturing (17%), finance (10%), technology services (16%), health care (9%) and distribution (4%). In terms of company size, 18% of the respondents were from companies with 5,000 or more employees. Posted: December 1, 2001