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Strategies & Market Trends : Zeev's Turnips - No Politics -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Crimson Ghost who wrote (11576)12/7/2001 7:28:26 PM
From: Rick Storm  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 99280
 
what criteria do you have for buying these junk funds; is it price alone-- or do you need confirmatory action from the long end? How do you find the funds (like no exposure to ene?) rick



To: Crimson Ghost who wrote (11576)12/7/2001 7:41:12 PM
From: ajtj99  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 99280
 
George, are the bond traders dumping in response to the Fed redemptions, or is it rotation into equities?

It is a bit surprising that the Fed redeemed again today even though they had the employment numbers last night. Are they sending some mixed signals?

I don't recall the Fed moving like this the Friday prior to previous rate cuts, but I haven't been paying that close attention. I thought normally the Fed Funds rate pretty accurately reflects what's coming, within a 30-40% error rate. If 1.875 is too low, how can we get a 25BP cut on Tuesday?



To: Crimson Ghost who wrote (11576)12/7/2001 7:45:25 PM
From: ajtj99  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 99280
 
BTW, George, I had some PRU junk funds back in that time period you're talking about. I recall about 15% returns during that period. I cashed them in and used the proceeds to pay for my wedding <G>.



To: Crimson Ghost who wrote (11576)12/7/2001 11:48:37 PM
From: Doug Shapiro  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 99280
 
Do junk bonds respond to improvements in the fundamentals of the companies as the economy grows or are they interest rate related?
I expect the fed to hold tight 12/11 and adopt a wait and see stance. Will this help junk bond funds? I remember in early 1994 when AG raised rates bond funds tanked big time.

How or why does junk behave differently?

Doug