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Politics : WAR on Terror. Will it engulf the Entire Middle East? -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Scoobah who wrote (1213)	12/10/2001 7:15:01 PM
From: Nadine Carroll	Respond to of 32591

The Bush administration is reported looking ahead to the day after Arafat. Among several plans its members are looking out is this one, as revealed for the first time in last week’s issue of our intelligence newsletter, DEBKA-Net-Weekly: Egypt and Jordan will send their armies into Palestinian-ruled areas to take the place of a collapsed Arafat regime or a Palestinian Authority stripped of powers. The Jordanian army, including its intelligence arm, would re-locate itself in the West Bank instead of the Palestinian security and intelligence services, while the Egyptian military would re-occupy the Gaza Strip. This is the first time I've seen anything like this suggested, and I'm not sure why Jordan would agree to it. (Egypt has even less motive.) After 40 years of Arafat's nationalism, the Palestinians are hardly likely to quietly revert to Jordanian occupation. Naturally, Arafat would have to be out of the picture, which is needed to create the kind of political vacuum that might allow room for this kind of maneuver. Still, if Israel and Jordan could come to some bilateral agreement, everyone else would be so glad to see any kind of progress that they would throw money at the solution. If Jordan promised order, elections and autonomy, the Palestinians would probably go along with it, even if it meant a severe crackdown on Hamas and remnants of the PA. At least the Palestinians would have the Israelis out of their hair. And vice-a-versa.