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To: Neeka who wrote (3889)12/12/2001 8:42:28 AM
From: Jon Koplik  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 12231
 
NYT -- Melting Glaciers in Antarctica Are Raising Oceans, Experts Say.

December 11, 2001

Melting Glaciers in Antarctica Are Raising Oceans, Experts Say

By KENNETH CHANG

SAN FRANCISCO, Dec. 10 — Antarctica appears to be melting
and contributing to the slow rise in the oceans, scientists reported
to their colleagues here today.

Using two sets of radar data from the European Remote Sensing
Satellite, two scientists said they had found that about 36 cubic miles of
ice had melted from glaciers in West Antarctica over the past decade.
That is enough water to raise sea levels worldwide by about one-sixtieth
of an inch, they said.

"These glaciers are thinning rapidly," said one of the scientists, Dr. Eric
Rignot from NASA's Jet Propulsion Laboratory in Pasadena, Calif. The
conclusions were presented at a meeting of the American Geophysical
Union.

The findings counter results of an earlier study, drawing on ground-
based observations, that concluded that Antarctica was gaining in mass,
with the snow falling at the interior.

Dr. Rignot said a satellite instrument designed to detect deformations in
the ground shape found no areas gaining in mass. But, he said, the Pine
Island and Thwaites glaciers in West Antarctica, the two largest on the
continent, are noticeably thinning. The rest of Antarctica appears to be stable, he said.

Ocean levels have been rising at a rate of about eight inches a century. Half of that is
attributable to the fact that water expands as temperatures rise; 20 percent appears
to be water running down mountain glaciers. The remaining 30 percent is a mystery, but
the new data suggests it is coming from Antarctica.

Using a second instrument on the satellite, one that measures altitude, Dr. Andrew
Shepherd, a research fellow at the Center for Polar Observation and Modeling at
University College London, came to similar conclusions. A smaller, neighboring
glacier, the Smith glacier, is losing mass even more quickly, he said.

No obvious explanation exists for the melting. The rise in global temperatures —
about one degree Fahrenheit over the last century — would have negligible effect
in the frigid climes of Antarctica, scientists say.

Copyright 2001 The New York Times Company



To: Neeka who wrote (3889)12/12/2001 8:56:07 AM
From: Jon Koplik  Respond to of 12231
 
NYT -- Drastic Shifts in Climate Are Likely, Experts Warn.

December 12, 2001

Drastic Shifts in Climate Are Likely, Experts Warn

By KENNETH CHANG

The vast reshaping of the environment by modern civilization raises
the chances of sudden and drastic upheavals in the climate, a
panel of experts warns.

In a report released yesterday in Washington by the National Research
Council, the research arm of the National Academy of Sciences, a panel
of 11 scientists examined the possibility of abrupt climate change, in
which small events can bring on rapid and great consequences.

Dr. Richard B. Alley, a professor of geosciences at Pennsylvania State
University and chairman of the committee, compared abrupt climate
change to a light switch, while gradual climate — what most
climatologists study — is like a light dimmer. Press upward on a
dimmer, and the light brightens a little. Press more, and the light
brightens more. With a switch, press lightly and nothing happens. Press
hard enough, and the light abruptly turns on.

"What the research shows is that there are switches as well as dimmers
in Earth's system," Dr. Alley said.

The scientists do not foresee any imminent changes, and the report
advises that the public "not be fatalistic about the threats." The panel
recommends further research to understand the mechanisms that can cause the sudden changes.

Most of the report focuses on abrupt changes that occurred naturally, long before
humans dominated the landscape. One prominent example is a period 12,800 years
ago known as the Younger Dryas cold interval. The climate had almost completely
recovered from the last ice age, but then average temperatures dropped 10 degrees
or more and remained cold for more than 1,000 years. Then the Earth abruptly
warmed again, perhaps 15 degrees in a decade. By contrast, the warming of the
Earth in the last century was 1 degree.

Although the sudden shifts occur naturally, the changes in the environment, including
flooding the atmosphere with carbon dioxide or cutting swaths of rain forests, could
act as a final push, the scientists said. "The harder you push, the more likely you are
to cross a threshold," Dr. Alley said. "We are likely to be surprised."


Most climate studies like those that look at global warming and its links to carbon dioxide emissions have examined changes that emerge gradually and steadily over decades or centuries.

At the meeting of the American Geophysical Union yesterday in San Francisco, scientists presented computer simulations indicating that a rise in carbon dioxide levels would lengthen the time that a low-pressure weather system hovered over the North Pole and a high-pressure air mass over the Atlantic.

That pattern tends to blow in warm air from the Atlantic into Europe, potentially leading to wetter and warmer winters over the coming decades. But that gradual shift to warmer and wetter winters may also cause an abrupt climate change.

Some climate models predict that the increased rainfall may weaken, or perhaps even stop, the Atlantic currents that carry warm water northward from the tropics and may plunge Europe into a new ice age. Other models predict no effects. The Younger Dryas may have been caused by the turning off of the northward currents and may have ended when the currents suddenly resumed.

"It leaves open the question of could we be pushing the variability one way or another," said Dr. John M. Wallace, a professor of atmospheric sciences at the University of Washington and another panel member. "There are a lot of ifs."

The report also reviews research on regional temporary shifts like the 1930's Dust Bowl drought. Although the drought seems to have occurred naturally, soil erosion caused by farming may have prolonged it.

Copyright 2001 The New York Times Company



To: Neeka who wrote (3889)12/14/2001 1:08:26 AM
From: Jon Koplik  Respond to of 12231
 
161 year old cigar factory shuts down.

December 13, 2001

W. Va. Cigar Factory Shuts Down

By THE ASSOCIATED PRESS

Filed at 3:52 p.m. ET

The oldest cigar maker in America has had an impressive list of customers over
the past 161 years. Daniel Webster, Annie Oakley, P.T. Barnum all smoked West
Virginia's Marsh Wheeling Stogies.

The long, thin cigars that Miflin Marsh first rolled at his Wheeling home in 1840
have even made their way into the movies, including ``How the West Was Won''
and ``The Green Mile.''

The brand lives on. But after Friday, Marsh Wheeling Stogies will no longer
come from West Virginia. They will be made in Frankfort, Ind.

Faced with declining sales, rising taxes and fear of lawsuits, Marsh Wheeling is
closing the historic plant that once made Wheeling the heart of an industry.

West Virginia is one of the few states where courts have recognized the right of
healthy smokers to sue tobacco companies for medical screening. A landmark
class-action suit against the nation's largest cigarette makers was rejected by a
jury last month, but Marsh Wheeling lawyer Jim Gardill said shareholders
consider the law too much of a liability.

``In this particular case, it played a role,'' he said Thursday. ``You can get
damages even though you've not been injured. That's a peculiar issue to explain
to management in other states. It's just bizarre.''

John Berger & Son Co. of Cincinnati bought Marsh in 1988. It is transferring the
product line to Marsh's sister company, National Cigar Corp.

Forty people are out of a job and Wheeling is losing a piece of itself.

``It's part of our history, part of our tradition,'' local historian Bill Carney said.
``It's very sad.''

Hydie Friend, acting executive director of the Wheeling National Heritage Area
Corp., would like to keep the neon sign atop the factory regardless of what
happens to the warehouse-style building with solid oak floors, high ceilings,
exposed steel beams and massive wooden joists. The sign is visible to all who
drive through the city on Interstate 70, a stretch of highway that runs between
Pennsylvania and Ohio.

The shareholders have not decided what to do with the sign, but Gardill said the
factory will probably be sold, perhaps to be converted into stores.

At a send-off luncheon Wednesday, retirees joined remaining workers. The
atmosphere was subdued.

``As cigar smokers die, principally of old age, there are not a lot of younger cigar
smokers to replace them,'' Gardill said.

Marsh's low-priced stogie was aimed at the ordinary, middle-income smoker.
The name ``stogie'' is derived from conestoga, the kind of wagon that frontier
families used during the trek West.


Miflin Marsh sold the first stogies from a basket hooked on his arm, handing
them out on steamboats that once worked the Ohio River and docked at
Wheeling's wharf.

By the late 1800s, the cigars were so popular and cheap that taverns placed them
on the counter like pretzels or toothpicks, free of charge.

^------

On the Net:

Marsh Wheeling Stogies: marshwheeling.com

National Cigar Corp: broadleafcigars.com

Wheeling Convention & Visitors Bureau: wheelingcvb.com

Copyright 2001 The Associated Press