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Biotech / Medical : Biotech Valuation -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: BulbaMan who wrote (5098)12/11/2001 9:19:39 AM
From: Biomaven  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 52153
 
Thanks, BulbaMan.

One thing worth adding is that in biotech there are smart shorts (like Avalon) and dumb shorts (like Anthony@ etc.). When you have the dumb shorts and their even dumber followers in a stock things tend to get unpleasant. But I think worst of all are the sleazier hedge funds who are smart enough to make a convincing (but specious) argument.

Short positions in many biotechs have been climbing. For example, look at SCIO, an Avalon short. Both the price and the short position have been showing a steady increase since the September low, with the November short position a massive 7.7m shares.

One nice place to look at short positions over time is:

viwes.com

I noticed MOGN has had a dramatic increase in short position in November, doubling from October.

Remember always that raw short numbers can be very misleading because often large short positions are hedges against convertible or option/warrant holdings.

Peter



To: BulbaMan who wrote (5098)12/11/2001 1:37:39 PM
From: tom pope  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 52153
 
Interesting piece, and good advice. Among the stocks I own, the IGEN canary seems to be singing most loudly.