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Strategies & Market Trends : Paint The Table -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: MulhollandDrive who wrote (6036)12/11/2001 3:32:31 PM
From: John Pitera  Respond to of 23786
 
Great article Mrs. Peel..... two points that stick out immediately

First, you and I have talked about how big those counter trend moves were, both in price and time in the 1966-1982 time period. That's what's caught people off guard since Sept.

Rather, what I envision is a protracted period in which prices are in general decline, but in which there are
several, perhaps even many, counter-trend rallies of significance. The mid 1960s through 1982 might represent an analogous period, although I'm not suggesting, at least not now, that the
current episode will last that long.


and second, as I've written several times on the market lab thread, The central banks to counteract the deflationary
bubble bursting, create so much more liquidity. It can theoretically create a macro inflationary rebound.

Surely part of the
recent run-up in bond yields has been the result of concern the Fed's aggressive rate cutting, and the immense liquidity creation necessary to peg the federal funds rate at the level
to which the Fed has reduced it, is sowing the seeds of future inflation.