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Strategies & Market Trends : Zeev's Turnips - No Politics -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Zeev Hed who wrote (12818)12/12/2001 9:55:05 PM
From: orkrious  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 99280
 
I still expect the first half of next year to be relatively bullish (after, of course, we pay the piper with a retrenchment of one kind or another).

Zeev, I assume you are now thinking scenario II is in play since it is almost unfathomable that we are going to drop 500 points in two weeks. Consequently, how can the first half of next year be bullish when we should be retesting (at least) lows by April?

Also, if you have a minute and missed these?

Message 16781704

Message 16782227

TIA

ork



To: Zeev Hed who wrote (12818)12/12/2001 11:02:56 PM
From: Siddhartha Gautama  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 99280
 
what is the impact of the stimulative effect of falling oil prices upon your model?

also, given the increasing life expectancies and per capita, is it not possible to smooth out the suffering over a longer time frame for a given avg. consumer debt? or will this precipitate japan?