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Strategies & Market Trends : Strictly: Drilling II -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Louis V. Lambrecht who wrote (5308)12/13/2001 3:02:44 PM
From: pater tenebrarum  Respond to of 36161
 
Louis, of course some of this has already been discounted, but imo not all. earnings for the unhedged producers are set to at least double, and ceteris paribus should rise even more than that over the next year. due to the dividend policies favored by most SA producers it is also to be expected that pay-outs will increase commensurately. in a market with almost no dividend yields and collapsing earnings left and right, this is like a beacon of light in a dark tunnel.

and the SAR vs. USD isn't the only variable that's important: the USD gold price is as well. per experience, big jumps in the Rand gold price have often led USD gold price rallies. there's no guarantee of that happening again of course, but should the PoG improve in USD terms as well, these shares would take off on yet another bull leg.

i must add that they are also historically very volatile, so there's generally no need to chase rallies. better to buy opportunistically on the inevitable corrections.