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Technology Stocks : How high will Microsoft fly? -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Uncle Frank who wrote (63777)12/17/2001 11:29:14 AM
From: dybdahl  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 74651
 
I believe that fiasco was a marketing fiasco, not something made by the government. If the companies involved had judged the market correctly, the bids would have been more realistic.

I believe that the main problem with GPRS and UMTS is, that people don't want to surf with reduced bandwidth. And they don't use laptops while driving a car. Laptops are mainly used at home and at work, and those few businessmen who need to communicate while on the road and cannot do with 48kbps, isn't that big a market. The lack of IEEE 802.11 usage and IR usage shows this clearly. Consumers don't go after highspeed wireless.

On the other hand - the SMS boom was pretty difficult to foresee. Three years ago, I would never have guessed, that online trade with SMS would pass trade on the Internet. SMS has made it's way from a nice feature on mobile phones to the main income of several companies. SMS became what WAP should have been, and without WAP, GPRS and UMTS are less interesting.

SMS taught an important lesson: The future of the internet and the main sources of turnover don't need to have anything to do with the World Wide Web. I guess this is also why WWW usage isn't growing much anymore over here.