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Technology Stocks : How high will Microsoft fly? -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: The Duke of URL© who wrote (63806)	12/19/2001 11:30:44 AM
From: nnillionaire	Respond to of 74651

Fron today's Wall Street Journal: interactive.wsj.com Windows XP's Retail Sales Are Trailing Pace Set by Its Predecessor, Windows 98 (excerpt) Retail sales of Microsoft Corp.'s Windows XP product continue to lag behind sales of its predecessor, Windows 98, raising questions about whether the new software will help lift the personal-computer industry out of its doldrums, as many had hoped. Still, analysts don't expect the lackluster performance to crimp Microsoft's quarterly profit. NPD Techworld, which tracks the software market, said Microsoft sold 250,000 retail copies of Windows XP for November, down from 400,000 for October. By comparison, sales of Windows 98 during its second month on the market were 350,000 copies, down from 580,000 the month of its debut, NPD said. Retail sales include new and upgrade XP versions sold as "shrink-wrapped" software in stores, but not software preinstalled on PCs.

To: The Duke of URL© who wrote (63806)	12/19/2001 12:21:19 PM
From: dybdahl	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 74651

That press release is very bad at telling where it gets its data from, and the website they refer to (www.hitboxenterprise.com) does not comply with HTML standards etc. Therefore, I made an investigation of a small amateur website about danish traditions (http://traditioner.dk/), and since september, 21st, the hits were distributed like this (search engines etc. not counted): 1753 are from the webmaster herself and me 30172 Windows 98 7712 Windows 95 5261 Windows Me 2861 Windows NT 4.0 1604 Windows 2000 1601 Macintosh 136 Linux 55 Sun Solaris 46 Windows XP This gives Linux a share of 0,2-0,3%, and Macintosh and Windows 2000 a market share of 3,1%. XP market share is not fair to measure, since it has just arrived on the market. Windows 95 has a share of 15% (!). The typical user of this website is believed to be schools and home users. My current judgement is that the Linux share will be 1-3% at the end of year 2002 and 3-10% at the end of 2003, passing Windows 2000 and maybe Windows 95. Windows 98 will probably stay the most used OS for some years to come. I chose that site because I could easily remove all the website operator's hits and because the group of people using it is very varied.

To: The Duke of URL© who wrote (63806)	12/19/2001 1:36:02 PM
From: Dave	Respond to of 74651

Two obvious problems with looking at your web logs to count what platforms your visitors are using are (1) you're probably counting search engine bots, and (2) many users of non-mainstream platforms and obscure browsers intentionally set their browsers to claim they are using IE or Netscape on a Windows machine, so that web sites won't try to be clever and only show them text. So that press release should be taken with the same healthy skepticism given to statements by Microsoft spokesmen and Usenet moderators quoting al Qaeda suspects. Dave