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To: Jacob Snyder who wrote (9695)12/19/2001 3:30:23 PM
From: JakeStraw  Respond to of 10934
 
>>The valuations say we're already in the stratosphere.

Funny, a few years ago this kind of action we're seeing in NTAP would have lead to rumors of an impending takeover...



To: Jacob Snyder who wrote (9695)12/19/2001 3:54:41 PM
From: BirdDog  Respond to of 10934
 
FA wise. Historically, ntap has stalled at a published P/E of about 800 to 1000. Usually pushes that value. Published does seem to be consistently high by about 20 to 40%. So don't want to get into a P/E discussion of what it should be yadda yadda. Another thing to consider, this is a company who has wiped 400 years worth of P/E (published) off the books in one quarter. That calculates to about 6.2 years per business day. If you want to check on it. Look at first quarter for last year. First time I ever watched a CEO give an earnings warning and the stock shot up.... Kept going till October. :)

What I mean by published P/E is what you usually find on websites like SI or MF.

BirdDog



To: Jacob Snyder who wrote (9695)12/19/2001 4:41:03 PM
From: BirdDog  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 10934
 
I forgot to mention on my other response to you. I do expect a pull back or correction of some kind before continuing up here. Reasons?

NTAP has formed a classic Trader Vic's 2B test of top. Although a failure here is only a one in four chance of happening. If it does happen, it will be a good drop. Plenty of other failure setups have come up in the past few weeks and none have worked. Perhaps this one will? It looks to be forming? Valuation is high enough to cause swelling of the hemorrhoids for some investors.

SEBL today formed a (close enough) Harami Pattern. If you were to combine today and yesterday (is a method of TA)... that will make a classic evening star for sebl... Provided we gap and continue down tomorrow.

QCOM keeps continuing down. Dummy me isn't following it closely enough to know why? I'm taking it as an indicator for possible pull back on others.

NDX looks to have formed a lower high. So looks like it's headed down short term.

I've sold everything I have. Am counting on a nice healthy pull back. Nothing wrong with a pull back...just a sign of a healthy market. Then hope I can buy back in Monday at a nice lower price. I still believe all these are on an uptrend. They just look like they're gonna take a little breather.

BirdDog@OhHomeOnTheRange.com



To: Jacob Snyder who wrote (9695)1/3/2002 5:02:38 PM
From: alanrs  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 10934
 
From your post Dec 19: "The NTAP chart says we're going to the moon. The valuations say we're already in the stratosphere." I don't know about everyone else, but I'm stunned. I had sold a single March 25 call, with the plan of selling another at a higher strike if NTAP got to 28 or so, but I may hold off.

No news? EMC was upgraded today. Money for nothin?
To paraphrase Jon Koplic... EMC's great, so buy NTAP?

ARS