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Strategies & Market Trends : VOLTAIRE'S PORCH-MODERATED -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Dealer who wrote (45535)	12/21/2001 3:03:40 PM
From: Sully-	Respond to of 65232

ECRI weekly index slips in Dec 14 week NEW YORK, Dec 21 (Reuters) - A weekly index of U.S. economic activity slipped slightly but remained at levels that suggest the economy may be on the verge of pulling out of its recession, the Economic Cycle Research Institute said on Friday. ECRI's Weekly Leading Index edged down to 118.8 in the week ended Dec. 14 from 119.1 in the previous week. The index hit a 4-1/2 year low during the week ended Oct. 19 at 113.9. Declining mortgage applications and stock prices weighed on the index, offsetting a drop in jobless claims and a reduction in the risk spread between high and low quality corporate bonds. ``The important thing to note is that this index is significantly above its October lows, which means we've seen an advance so far that is reasonably pronounced and pervasive. But it's not persistent enough for us to definitely say that we have a recovery ahead,'' said Anirvan Banerji, ECRI research director. The index's growth rate, which compares the four-week moving average with its behavior over the preceding year, edged higher for the seventh straight week to -1.5 percent from -2.4 in the prior week. The Weekly Leading Index is composed of a balance of seven major economic indicators. ECRI designs short- and long-term indexes aimed at predicting business cycles, recessions and recoveries in the world's leading economies. Historical data --------------- Week ending Level Growth rate Dec 14 118.8 -1.5 Dec 7 119.1 -2.4 Nov 30 118.0 -4.1 Nov 23 117.1 -5.1 Nov 16 116.7 -6.5 Nov 9 115.5 -7.8 Nov 2 115.9 -8.2 Oct 26 114.1 -8.8 Oct 19 113.9 -8.7 Oct 12 115.2 -7.9 Oct 05 114.8 -7.1 Sep 28 115.3 -5.8 Sep 21 116.7 -4.3 Sep 14 117.7 -3.4 Sep 07 118.8 -2.9 Aug 31 119.8 -2.6 Aug 24 119.3 -2.3 Aug 17 119.4 -1.7 Aug 10 120.0 -1.1 Aug 03 120.8 -1.3 Jul 27 121.2 -2.0 Jul 20 121.3 -2.5 Jul 13 119.8 -2.9 Jul 06 119.4 -2.4 Jun 29 120.4 -1.7 Jun 22 120.7 -1.4 Jun 15 121.2 -1.5 Jun 08 121.6 -2.0 Jun 01 121.3 -2.4 May 25 120.8 -2.8 May 18 120.2 -3.6 May 11 120.8 -4.4 May 04 120.6 -5.6 Apr 27 119.2 -6.9 Apr 20 118.5 -7.5 Apr 13 118.3 -7.9 Apr 06 118.0 -8.0 Mar 30 118.2 -7.7 Mar 23 118.2 -7.2 Mar 16 118.8 -6.8 Mar 09 119.4 -6.4 Mar 02 120.2 -6.0 Feb 23 119.6 -5.6 Feb 16 120.4 -5.0 Feb 09 120.8 -4.2 Feb 02 121.7 -3.8 Jan 26 121.6 -4.8 Jan 19 122.8 -6.8 Jan 12 122.3 -8.6 Jan 05 119.8 -9.5

To: Dealer who wrote (45535)	12/21/2001 3:04:26 PM
From: Murrey Walker	Respond to of 65232

<Thankful that you hung in here. > Wouldn't have it any other way m'dear!

To: Dealer who wrote (45535)	12/21/2001 6:42:35 PM
From: stockman_scott	Respond to of 65232

To all Porchers... May the peace and beauty of this holiday season be with you and your family throughout the coming year. Best Regards, -Scott

To: Dealer who wrote (45535)	12/21/2001 6:51:47 PM
From: Jill	Respond to of 65232

Dealie & all porchers...yeah that was a special time wasn't it? What's great is that this ole porch is still standing--through the good times & the lean times. Happy Holidays to all! :-) Jill

To: Dealer who wrote (45535)	12/21/2001 7:19:58 PM
From: Cactus Jack	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 65232

Dealer, You run a classy joint here at the ol' Porch. Happy holidays to you and your bro. jpgill

To: Dealer who wrote (45535)	12/22/2001 11:52:59 AM
From: RR	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 65232

Hi Dealer: I can remember telling our friends at the Porch Party that one day we will get together again and tell success stories. I still believe that. I also mentioned my firm belief that we will not fail. I still belive that. Like I said then, and still believe now, so long as one does not quit, has the determination and drive to seek excellence, they will not fail. I believe things will get better, that everyone will get back on their feet, learn from these experiences, and do better than before for having endured what they just came through. One day, we will get together again, and tell success stories. Happy Holidays my Friends! RR