To: Thomas M. who wrote (10241 ) 12/22/2001 2:20:35 PM From: goldsnow Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 23908 Solutions .. A possible split in the ranks of the Hizb would have a cascading effect on the Hurriyat and the definition of azaadi. India has not lost anything. It needs understanding that peace processes are necessarily long drawn out, and require patience. There are no easy fixes, as evident from the cases of the Mizo, Naga, Tripura insurgencies, and the Gorkhaland agitation. The Irish question and Israel-Palestine negotiations are further examples of this reality. Only a generation change in Pakistan could make it see reason; quite obviously its actions have been irrational in the past, witness the events in 1947, 1965, and 1971. The Kargil conflict refuted the nuclear theology that nuclear states did not war against each other. Pakistan claims to have contemplated the use of nuclear weapons on several occasions in the past, as claimed in an article jointly written by Ms. Sattar, Zulfikar Ali Khan and Agha Shahi. It subscribes to a first use doctrine which only emphasizes its irrationalityipcs.org Pakistan had isolated itself in the world. Its image was abysmal; it was believed to be the fountain of terrorism and drug peddling and a 'failing' state; its foreign debt was $ 40 bn., and the Paris Club, on which it was pinning great hopes, was only likely to provide some $ 100 m., at most, in end-December with stringent conditions attached. What about next year? The ISI had shifted its support to foreign militants, as they were believed capable of delivering on Kashmir, like in Afghanistan. But Pakistan needed to appreciate there is an international distaste to redrawing of international borders; Clinton has deprecated such efforts. His sympathy-call to Vajpayee after the Amarnath pilgrims were killed and exhortation to Hizb leaders to continue talks were highly symbolic, reflecting US support to India and marginalising of Pakistan.