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Strategies & Market Trends : Z Best Place to Talk Stocks -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Ron McKinnon who wrote (36394)12/29/2001 6:27:32 PM
From: Beachside Bill  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 53068
 
No comments about changing the Z portfolio to next year we start everyone with $200,000 and they can use that through the year for trading or longer term? If new people join in then we add $200,000 to the ports year starting balance. This way we don't have to worry about people needing money to buy something they think is ready to move. They move their own money.

The only reason I ask is that it has shrunk in size over the last two years and as with most of the country and its hard to add new people and have more than one or two picks.

If you think it stinks say so but the new year is almost here and if its a good idea it would be nice to start the new year it the new port in place. I would like to trade some and hold some longer term but feel I am unable to do so in its present form.



To: Ron McKinnon who wrote (36394)12/30/2001 8:41:33 AM
From: Larry S.  Respond to of 53068
 
COF (Capitol One - credit card issuer) and 50/200 DMA resistance/support: askresearch.com quite a battle going on, looks like wants to break up through the 200 DMA. COF was one of CSFB Galvin's top picks for '02: dailynews.yahoo.com



To: Ron McKinnon who wrote (36394)12/30/2001 10:08:10 AM
From: Ron McKinnon  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 53068
 
re: the z portfolio

sometimes it is helpful to look back
we started this five years ago Sunday, Dec 22, 1996

some of the initial "rules" were:

Short Term Trading
For the purposes of this thread we have defined Short Term Trading as the buying of stocks with an anticipated holding period of between 2 weeks and 2 months. We will deviate from these guidelines as market conditions dictate.

Price Gain Potential
We will look for stocks that we believe have a reasonable to good potential for a 5-10% gain in 2 weeks and 10-30% in 2 months.

Risk Characteristics
The stocks in this portfolio will generally have moderate to high risk. These will normally be neither "safe/defensive" stocks nor will they be "high flyers - crap shoots". We will attempt to manage risk by using sell points or sell stops. We will use technical analysis in the hope that it will help us to assess and reduce risk. Generally we will look to exit a position if a stock has fallen 8-15% from our buy price

Risk/Reward Characteristics
We will try to look for a risk/reward ratio of at least 2:1. We want the potential gain to be at least two times the possible loss potential

Rules" for Inclusion in the Active Portfolio
1. Is this "best" pick at a point in time based on risk to reward.

Rules" for Deletion from the Active Portfolio
1. Target price hit.
2. Negative change in fundamentals or technical analysis which suggests a stock be sold.

to me it seems that those still make sense today, we just forget them from time to time