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To: MythMan who wrote (140863)	12/29/2001 6:19:24 PM
From: Terry Maloney	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 436258

If this analysis by stratfor proves out, you may have to lower that target a bit. The problem is that in Pakistan, there are those who prefer an open breach with the United States to accommodation. Even if we assume that Musharraf is not one of these elements, it is not clear that he can control them. If he can't control them, the United States is faced with an extraordinary dilemma -- to go into Pakistan and get al Qaeda itself. It cannot do this without India, and India will not move unless Pakistan's nuclear weapons are destroyed. It is not clear that U.S. precision-guided munitions are sufficient for a task that will tolerate no failure. The rest follows logically. Message 16842404