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Strategies & Market Trends : Booms, Busts, and Recoveries -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: smolejv@gmx.net who wrote (12280)12/30/2001 8:20:29 AM
From: smolejv@gmx.net  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 74559
 
Their 2001 record - re crystal ball research and
the big-league players.

One of original 10, giving numbers in 2001, dropped out
of the race for 2002, I would dare to say, for the
obvious reasons

01 predictions
actual 01 avge st.dev
growth 0.6 2.7 0.17
consumer prices 2.5 1.8 0.21
private consumption 1.3 2.4 0.07
investments -4.4 3.1 1.13
cap. Equipment -2.5 7.9 1.67
real estate -6.0 -0.3 0.94
exports 4.7 8.5 0.71
imports 1.2 8.1 0.62
bto salaries 2.1 3.2 0.37
inv. Income -1.2 3.9 0.73
unemployed [M] 3.85 3.62 0.03

every single one of the items predicted was significantly
(statistically speaking) off the actual number. No wonder
one of the dropped out for 2002 (see prev. post) and second,
their bars are twice the size of bars the last year.

In a nut shell: they all have trouble seeing anything in the
thin brown mist that's emanating from the world 2002 fan.

dj



To: smolejv@gmx.net who wrote (12280)1/7/2002 10:49:19 AM
From: Earlie  Respond to of 74559
 
Dolinar:

Many thanks for the info.

Best, Earlie