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Strategies & Market Trends : Booms, Busts, and Recoveries -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: TobagoJack who wrote (12377)1/1/2002 8:12:05 AM
From: elmatador  Respond to of 74559
 
<<leaving nothing at all>> I predicted a few abracadabras and this one didn't make the grade. The first total raw material, cattle fulfills your expectations:
Our ancestors slaughtered it. Eat part of the meat fresh and conserve the rest using salt, smoking it or turn it into sausage.

Use the ride for clothing. The horns to make combs and buttons. Us the bones as materials for several utensils. The only thing left over was the mooo!!

What you are asking is for a suitable raw material which -by the application of today's high technology- would be as useful as cattle. And as replaceable too.

The petroleum age would end not by the lack of oil.



To: TobagoJack who wrote (12377)1/1/2002 8:25:35 AM
From: elmatador  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 74559
 
Once -1990- I devised this abracadabra, a world of computers interconnected cheap and easy to use computers. They would be Mac computers running over a ISDN networks.

It didn't happen. The Internet too it over dial up lines.

Apple is Getting Ripe
n a previous letter I have informed that Apple was ”in the [strategic shopping] list of several deep-pocketed U.S. buyers” and, “the Apple Macintosh is posed to be the ISDN terminal which was missing”.
Apple seems not to be wasting time. “Bill Atkinson...has joined fellow Apple alumni Andy Hertzfeld and Mark Porat in a new Apple venture called General Magic. Hertzfeld and Atkinson have each reportedly invested $1 million in the venture to produce a line of products Apple is calling Personal Intelligent Communicators. Published reports have speculated that the units will have sophisticated videophones. Apple is a minority participant...and holds the first nonexclusive license to manufacture and market the company’s products.” Macuser,Oct. 1990.
Watch out for the Apple Macintosh with an ISDN interface.



To: TobagoJack who wrote (12377)1/1/2002 10:48:35 AM
From: elmatador  Respond to of 74559
 
Paul Krugman: Don't cry for Argentina; cry with it.
Crying With Argentina
By PAUL KRUGMAN


Join a Discussion on Paul Krugman's Columns




More Op-Ed Columns




lthough images of the riots in Argentina have flickered across our television screens, hardly anyone in the U.S. cares. It's just another disaster in a small, faraway country of which we know nothing — a country as remote and unlikely to affect our lives as, say, Afghanistan.

I don't make that comparison lightly. Most people here may think that this is just another run-of-the-mill Latin American crisis — hey, those people have them all the time, don't they? — but in the eyes of much of the world, Argentina's economic policies had "made in Washington" stamped all over them. The catastrophic failure of those policies is first and foremost a disaster for Argentines, but it is also a disaster for U.S. foreign policy.

Here's how the story looks to Latin Americans: Argentina, more than any other developing country, bought into the promises of U.S.-promoted "neoliberalism" (that's liberal as in free markets, not as in Ted Kennedy). Tariffs were slashed, state enterprises were privatized, multinational corporations were welcomed, and the peso was pegged to the dollar. Wall Street cheered, and money poured in; for a while, free-market economics seemed vindicated, and its advocates weren't shy about claiming credit.

Then things began to fall apart. It wasn't surprising that the 1997 Asian financial crisis had repercussions in Latin America, and at first Argentina seemed less affected than its neighbors. But while Brazil bounced back, Argentina's recession just went on and on.

I could explain at length the causes of Argentina's slump: it had more to do with monetary policy than with free markets. But Argentines, understandably, can't be bothered with such fine distinctions — especially because Wall Street and Washington told them that free markets and hard money were inseparable.

Moreover, when the economy went sour, the International Monetary Fund — which much of the world, with considerable justification, views as a branch of the U.S. Treasury Department — was utterly unhelpful. I.M.F. staffers have known for months, perhaps years, that the one-peso-one-dollar policy could not be sustained. And the I.M.F. could have offered Argentina guidance on how to escape from its monetary trap, as well as political cover for Argentina's leaders as they did what had to be done. Instead, however, I.M.F. officials — like medieval doctors who insisted on bleeding their patients, and repeated the procedure when the bleeding made them sicker — prescribed austerity and still more austerity, right to the end.

Now Argentina is in utter chaos — some observers are even likening it to the Weimar Republic. And Latin Americans do not regard the United States as an innocent bystander.

I'm not sure how many Americans, even among the policy elite, understand this. The people who encouraged Argentina in its disastrous policy course are now busily rewriting history, blaming the victims. Anyway, we are notoriously bad at seeing ourselves as others see us. A recent Pew survey of "opinion leaders" found that 52 percent of the Americans think that our country is liked because it "does a lot of good"; only 21 percent of foreigners, and 12 percent of Latin Americans, agreed.

What happens next? The best hope for an Argentine turnaround was an orderly devaluation, in which the government reduced the dollar value of the peso and at the same time converted many dollar debts into pesos. But that now seems a remote prospect.

Instead, Argentina's new government — once it has one — will probably turn back the clock. It will impose exchange controls and import quotas, turning its back on world markets; don't be surprised if it also returns to old-fashioned anti-American rhetoric.

And let me make a prediction: these retrograde policies will work, in the sense that they will produce a temporary improvement in the economic situation — just as similar policies did back in the 1930's. Turning your back on the world market is bad for long-run growth; Argentina's own history is the best proof. But as John Maynard Keynes said, in the long run we are all dead.

Back in April, George W. Bush touted the proposed Free Trade Area of the Americas as a major foreign policy goal, one that would "build an age of prosperity in a hemisphere of liberty." If that goal really was important, we have just suffered a major setback. Don't cry for Argentina; cry with it.



To: TobagoJack who wrote (12377)1/1/2002 5:00:34 PM
From: smolejv@gmx.net  Respond to of 74559
 
...can be upgraded (at N/C until 1st april) with the mother-in-law-combustion option (and father-in-law dead for known reasons "leaving nothing at all"!)