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Strategies & Market Trends : Fidelity Select Sector funds -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Jim Battaglia who wrote (4116)	1/1/2002 10:55:06 AM
From: Jim Battaglia	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 4916

Part III: GENERAL MARKET ANALYSIS, 12/31/01 Rising trend is GOOD (very good if POSITIVE and continuing to rise) Falling trend is BAD (very bad if NEGATIVE and continuing to fall) 12/31/01 12/28/01 12/27/01 12/26/01 12/24/01 -------- -------- -------- -------- -------- OTC McClellan Summation Index 1727.61 1673.53 1611.84 1566.40 1546.90 OTC Price Oscillator: 40.23 42.83 43.47 44.59 46.57 55-day EMA, NS NH/NL: 67.87 66.99 66.00 65.10 64.20 30-15-15 MACD NS NH/NL: 118.03 116.91 117.63 119.78 123.35 NY McClellan Summation Index: 2514.87 2419.29 2302.13 2206.66 2147.30 NY Price Oscillator: 4.55 4.45 4.04 3.67 3.42 55-day EMA, NY NH/NL: 66.22 65.26 64.30 63.57 62.85 30-15-15 MACD NY NH/NL: 59.00 53.08 48.91 46.54 46.35 30-Year Bond: -194.49 -206.43 -200.41 -206.25 -199.99 10-Year Bond: -398.69 -427.04 -437.64 -452.95 -439.53 Market Momentum & Strength: RSI OF Wilshire 5000 56.02 62.48 60.81 58.01 55.77 RSI of Nasdaq 51.00 56.73 55.36 53.37 51.29 RSI of Nasdaq 100 47.56 53.59 51.70 49.67 47.91 RSI of Russell 2000 61.90 67.27 66.75 65.50 63.19 RSI of S&P 500 53.40 60.14 58.68 55.68 53.79 RSI OF DJIA 54.96 62.19 61.96 60.26 58.15 RSI of LC-Growth 50.66 58.44 59.06 56.94 55.73 RSI of MC-Growth 64.57 68.44 66.31 64.48 61.57 RSI of SC-Growth 64.12 69.33 68.98 68.08 65.51 RSI of LC-Value 55.70 60.81 57.65 53.43 50.75 RSI of MC-Value 68.46 71.38 69.57 66.99 62.98 RSI of SC-Value 61.59 66.17 67.33 65.35 62.33 GOOD = > 50 & improving % Wilshire 5000 +/- 30day Avg 1.30 2.44 2.19 1.67 1.27 % Nasdaq +/- 30day Avg 0.68 2.63 2.26 1.60 0.88 % Nasdaq 100 +/- 30day Avg -0.81 1.90 1.11 0.21 -0.63 % Russell 2000 +/- 30day Avg 3.36 4.69 4.82 4.65 4.05 % S&P500 +/- 30day Avg 0.76 1.95 1.75 1.19 0.86 % DJIA +/- 30day Avg 1.11 2.35 2.46 2.20 1.82 % LC-Growth +/- 30day Avg 0.31 1.77 2.00 1.61 1.42 % MC-Growth +/- 30day Avg 3.53 4.46 4.01 3.67 2.98 % SC-Growth +/- 30day Avg 3.68 4.90 5.11 5.09 4.40 % LC-Value +/- 30day Avg 1.16 2.10 1.49 0.69 0.20 % MC-Value +/- 30day Avg 2.82 3.34 3.10 2.68 1.99 % SC-Value +/- 30day Avg 2.86 3.86 4.34 3.95 3.22 % Wilshire 5000 +/- 50day Avg 2.09 3.24 2.95 2.40 1.97 % Nasdaq +/- 50day Avg 2.63 4.68 4.31 3.66 2.96 % Nasdaq 100 +/- 50day Avg 1.06 3.93 3.16 2.28 1.51 % Russell 2000 +/- 50day Avg 5.20 6.53 6.60 6.36 5.68 % S&P500 +/- 50day Avg 1.38 2.58 2.35 1.76 1.41 % DJIA +/- 50day Avg 2.00 3.25 3.33 3.03 2.62 % LC-Growth +/- 50day Avg 1.33 2.84 3.07 2.66 2.47 % MC-Growth +/- 50day Avg 5.09 5.99 5.48 5.07 4.33 % SC-Growth +/- 50day Avg 5.44 6.64 6.79 6.69 5.91 % LC-Value +/- 50day Avg 1.39 2.31 1.65 0.81 0.30 % MC-Value +/- 50day Avg 3.44 3.91 3.59 3.10 2.35 % SC-Value +/- 50day Avg 4.74 5.76 6.21 5.76 4.99 % Wilshire 5000 +/- 100day Av 1.81 2.90 2.55 1.92 1.44 % Nasdaq +/- 100day Avg 3.17 5.19 4.73 3.99 3.22 % Nasdaq 100 +/- 100day Avg 1.00 3.84 2.98 2.04 1.21 % Russell 2000 +/- 100day Avg 6.23 7.48 7.43 7.06 6.25 % S&P500 +/- 100day Avg 0.95 2.11 1.81 1.17 0.78 % DJIA +/- 100day Avg 1.90 3.11 3.12 2.74 2.26 % LC-Growth +/- 100day Avg 1.81 3.31 3.49 3.02 2.78 % MC-Growth +/- 100day Avg 5.46 6.27 5.62 5.10 4.25 % SC-Growth +/- 100day Avg 6.77 7.90 7.93 7.70 6.79 % LC-Value +/- 100day Avg 0.17 1.02 0.30 -0.60 -1.14 % MC-Value +/- 100day Avg 3.53 3.93 3.53 2.96 2.14 % SC-Value +/- 100day Avg 6.33 7.29 7.66 7.10 6.21 % Wilshire 5000 +/- 150day Av 1.81 2.90 2.55 1.92 1.44 % Nasdaq +/- 150day Avg 3.17 5.19 4.73 3.99 3.22 % Nasdaq 100 +/- 150day Avg 1.00 3.84 2.98 2.04 1.21 % Russell 2000 +/- 150day Avg 6.23 7.48 7.43 7.06 6.25 % S&P500 +/- 150day Avg 0.95 2.11 1.81 1.17 0.78 % DJIA +/- 150day Avg 1.90 3.11 3.12 2.74 2.26 % LC-Growth +/- 150day Avg 0.42 1.87 2.00 1.50 1.21 % MC-Growth +/- 150day Avg 3.92 4.65 3.94 3.37 2.47 % SC-Growth +/- 150day Avg 6.61 7.68 7.65 7.36 6.39 % LC-Value +/- 150day Avg -1.48 -0.67 -1.41 -2.31 -2.86 % MC-Value +/- 150day Avg 3.90 4.28 3.86 3.27 2.43 % SC-Value +/- 150day Avg 7.05 7.98 8.31 7.70 6.76 NASDAQ New Highs: 129.00 107.00 102.00 102.00 67.00 NASDAQ New Lows : 12.00 7.00 11.00 12.00 14.00 GOOD = less than 50 NL NYSE New Highs: 127.00 115.00 120.00 127.00 90.00 NYSE New Lows : 11.00 11.00 23.00 26.00 25.00 GOOD = less than 30 NL OTC McClellan Oscillator: 54.08 61.69 45.44 19.50 -14.11 NY McClellan Oscillator: 95.58 117.17 95.47 59.36 19.24 GOOD = staying above +50 NYSE Market Sentiment: 82.85 87.34 85.51 84.41 86.12 RYTNX vs. RYTPX: if plus, bulls are dominant if minus, bears are dominant NASDAQ Market Sentiment: 133.78 157.02 167.52 183.36 205.77 RYVYX vs. RYVNX: if plus, bulls are dominant if minus, bears are dominant ============================================================================== The stock market is most profitable when the Russell 2000 is trending up. 12/31/01 12/28/01 12/27/01 12/26/01 12/24/01 -------- -------- -------- -------- -------- Russell 2000 Stochastics 1656.15 1709.21 1728.70 1745.16 1758.17 Russell 2000 MACD 92.56 101.79 100.11 95.49 89.71 GOOD = BOTH > 0 and improving RSI, Russell 2000 Index 61.90 67.27 66.75 65.50 63.19 GOOD = > 60 & improving Russell 2000 % Drawdown -1.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 > 5.50% = High-Tech Bailout JR investnbest.com Happy New Year