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Politics : High Tolerance Plasticity -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: upanddown who wrote (11386)	1/1/2002 4:02:08 PM
From: kodiak_bull	Respond to of 23153

Damn, I hate to start out the New Year wrong, but there I am. This does not portend great stuff this year (or perhaps I'm getting it out of my system early?)?? I was of course (mis) using "nemesis" in its vulgar and incorrect usage as "enemy" or "antagonist." I stand corrected, and am grateful for the education. I never associated the contests with hubris, but I might not have been paying attention. I've run all sorts of stock price contests on UTI, GLBL, CIMA--I do it when things get boring. Back to football. Kb

To: upanddown who wrote (11386)	1/3/2002 4:50:10 PM
From: Warpfactor	Respond to of 23153

John, Re: Stock Picking Contests Pro: I get some good ideas from other entrants Con: I don't like being the manager. Maybe if I didn't have a 2 yo running around the house. You also make a good point about contests only commencing during bull runs. As far as 2001 synopsis: I finished the year at -5.5%, beating the S&P by 8.5%. My goal is to beat the S&P500 by 20% every year. Considering I typically like to ride the hottest techs, I actually consider myself fortunate to have done as well as I did. Successes: Scored big following the Sept 11 incident. In excess of 50% portfolio gains. I think I can thank TA for not bailing out with piddling gains and thus riding out the temporary downturns. Flops (or "learning opps): In the summer I focused too much on the ARMS Index/TRIN. BTW, this indicator did "work" once again, thus retaining its perfect record. However, I jumped in too early and experienced some big hits before coming back. Learned to check off with other indicators (re: VIX) during these vicious selloffs before committing the bulk of capital. Had I exercised more patience and paid attention to VIX, MacLellan, et. al. I would be way ahead in 2001. Warp