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To: sun-tzu who wrote (141192)	1/1/2002 6:32:20 PM
From: mishedlo	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 436258

You are missing the point. What would trap the most people here? A rally when everyone expects it, or a drop when most small shorts have covered. I say a decent drop to sucker in the bears over 3-4 days, then a sharp rally picking all that up in half the time. That would shake out the most bulls, crush bears that overstayed their welcome, get the funds their cheap shares of garbage back at prices they want, AND toast the most options in the process. After expiry the rally continues until all the sideline $ are in and Greenspan stops pumping. We seem to agree except for the surprise first of Jan dip coming up. We will see. M

To: sun-tzu who wrote (141192)	1/1/2002 9:15:56 PM
From: Justa Werkenstiff	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 436258

Sun: Re: "there is an unprecedented amount of FED money at work." Issue is not whether there is a large amount of Fed. money at work. That is a given. Issue is whether it will find its way into the stock market. There was no need for extra liquidity in Y2K. So a chunk went into the stock market. But look at the impact of the current mega pump to date -- a flat market at best for the past month. What does that suggest? Suggests that there is a greater need for liquidity in the system which makes excess less likely to find its way into the stock market.