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To: The Freep who wrote (26446)1/2/2002 10:39:30 AM
From: AllansAlias  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 209892
 
Last year we had the surprise cut on the 3rd. I remember it well -- futures jumped about 80 ponts in literally a heartbeeat.



To: The Freep who wrote (26446)1/2/2002 10:50:15 AM
From: Paul Shread  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 209892
 
What about the correlation between the direction of the market in the first 5 trading days and the full year? Worked well the last two years.

>>Supposedly, historically (I've lost the link, but it wasn't too stat packed anyway), after year-end rallies or strongly positive calendar years in particular, the first week or so of January can be "surprisingly" weak due to the above phenomenon.<<



To: The Freep who wrote (26446)1/2/2002 10:50:30 AM
From: yard_man  Respond to of 209892
 
makes a lot of sense to me -- little selling before to offset winners -- little bit of selling after to take gains for the next tax year. Next week should give us more of a clue for the rest of the month as long as this initial selloff isn't too deep



To: The Freep who wrote (26446)1/2/2002 12:29:00 PM
From: patron_anejo_por_favor  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 209892
 
The "huge rally" on Jan 3rd, 2001 was solely and completely caused by the panic rate cut (1st of eleven) that bubbleboy unloaded. The market was drifting lower earlier in the day when the paddles hit the chest and Greenspan yelled "all clear!"<G>