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Politics : High Tolerance Plasticity -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: que seria who wrote (11420)	1/3/2002 2:49:00 PM
From: jim_p	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 23153

que, 1. If the economy recovers, interest rates will be on the increase. Housing stocks generally go the opposite way of interest rates. 2. Housing has held up very well, but it generally lags the economy. If the economy does not recover housing will eventually get hit hard. 3. No insider buying and lots of insider selling is generally a good indicator that the current cycle has come to an end. 4. Housing is still a very fragmented industry with the majority of the homes being built by the ma and pa companies. Any capital intensive industry with lag times in construction and a one that operates in a competitive environment will go through cycles. 5. The believe that housing is no longer a cyclical sector has set up some of the better shorting opportunities the sector has seen in may years. JMHO, Jim