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Strategies & Market Trends : Swing Trading With Options -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Dan Duchardt who wrote (85)	1/3/2002 7:34:33 PM
From: underdog430	Respond to of 88

Thanks Dan. I think that there are some limits to the use of historical levels as standard reference points (e.g., 20 is low while 30 is high) for some of the same reasons articulated there (i.e., that the market changes). I've been playing around with regression lines (which seem really awkward to draw in QCharts) and plenty of people seem to like moving averages and moving averages of moving averages. Yesterday there was a pop in volatility even though the markets moved strongly to the upside and I'm not sure how to interpret that (perhaps simply as a new year phenomenon). The bottom line is that current optimism, as measured by volatility, seems to have led the market ahead of itself. If I'm wrong, which the market seems to have been telling me that I am, I would just like a better explanation of why and how. Mark