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To: ~digs who wrote (341)1/5/2002 1:00:56 AM
From: ~digs  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 6763
 
More Cell-Phone Users Cut Ties to Traditional Service

By Yuki Noguchi ; Washington Post Staff Writer ; Friday, December 28, 2001; Page E01

Insana Collins couldn't afford to spend more than $50 a month on her phone bills.

So when the recent college grad moved out of her mother's Largo home a year ago, she decided not to get a phone line in her first apartment, in Upper Marlboro.

She got a cell phone instead.

Installation and the deposit on a land line from Verizon Communications Inc. would have set her back about $125, then $40 a month for service, said Collins, a 24-year-old who graduated from the University of Maryland and now works as an editor of federal documents.

By comparison, she can talk on her Sprint PCS phone for nearly 3,000 minutes a month for $50, which includes long-distance calls.

There's no point to having a home phone when she's seldom at home, she concluded: "It wasn't really rocket science to figure out that I would be paying twice as much for a service I don't use."

More consumers are behaving like Collins, making cell phones their primary line, and in some cases abandoning their land lines altogether. About 2.2 percent of people in the United States have done away with their regular phone service and depend totally on their cell phones or other wireless devices, according to the Cellular Telecommunications & Internet Association (CTIA), a trade group based in Washington.

Although it is still nascent, the phenomenon marks a sea change for the telecommunications industry and for residential customers, who traditionally haven't had a choice for local phone service. Until it was broken up by court order in 1984, American Telephone & Telegraph Corp. was a monopoly, running its copper wires into any home that wanted phone service. Now those wires are controlled by regional providers such as Verizon and SBC Communications Inc. Although the local phone industry was deregulated in 1996, the vast majority of companies entering the market built networks to serve business clients, which are more profitable than residential customers. But now six national cell-phone carriers are engaged in a price war, meaning it's sometimes cheaper to opt out of land lines.

The movement is possible in large part because intense competition among wireless carriers has driven the monthly price of cell-phone service down 39 percent over the last decade. More important, flat-rate plans offering thousands of minutes of talk time a month have encouraged people to use their cell phones more frequently, and for longer periods of time. The total amount of time Americans talk on their cell phones is increasing 75 percent every year, according to the CTIA.

Even families can go all wireless, all the time, without multiplying their phone bills. Most carriers now tout plans designed so that family members can have their own phones but draw from the same bucket of minutes.

That type of plan made it possible for Fabiana Quinonez to buy three cell phones so that she and her husband can keep track of their 16-year-old daughter, Sonia.

"We wanted to know her whereabouts," Fabiana Quinonez said. Doing away with the hassle of pay phones and calling cards was worth the $120 a month it costs to get unlimited service within their hometown of Phoenix, she said.

Laurel resident Tracey Childress kept her home phone line only because she needs it to connect her computer to the Internet.

For $79 a month, her Nextel Communications Inc. cell phone gives her the features she used to pay extra to get on her land line: voice mail, call waiting and caller identification. In addition, she no longer pays separately for long-distance.

There are some trade-offs: Sometimes rain causes a bad connection, her calls occasionally get cut off, and she has to make sure she doesn't exceed her allotted minutes. But on balance it's been a wise decision, she said. "I think I am saving money, not so much on local, but on long-distance," said Childress, a computer assistant who also likes getting her calls when she's on the road.

Some wireless phone companies -- particularly those that don't have a land-line business to cannibalize -- explicitly encourage this practice. VoiceStream Wireless is running a television ad showing a man talking on his cell phone while using his cordless home phone to play fetch with his dog. San Diego-based Leap Wireless International Inc. and Alltel Corp. of Little Rock are among companies that offer unlimited local calling, mimicking the access a land line provides. Other companies, including Verizon Wireless and Arlington-based TeleCorp PCS, have conducted tests of similar services in New Orleans and Memphis.

About 7 percent of Leap's 1 million customers have "cut the cord" and no longer use land lines, said Sarah Thailing, a spokeswoman for the company, which markets its service under the Cricket name. About 61 percent of Leap's customers use their phones as their primary line, using their land lines only for Internet connections, she said.

Allowing virtually unlimited local service poses technical and financial challenges for wireless carriers trying to manage the traffic on their networks. The more traffic, the more airwaves or cell towers the carriers need, but airwave spectrum is very limited, and carriers are already pinched for cash. Adding cell towers can be difficult in suburban neighborhoods, where zoning boards and community groups have sought to block their construction, citing aesthetic or health reasons.

TeleCorp, a wireless company with over 900,000 customers in the Southeast and Midwest, considered offering unlimited local service in Memphis two years ago. The experiment fell flat, said Gerald T. Vento, chief executive of the company, which was recently acquired by AT&T Wireless.

"There is no way to make it profitable," Vento concluded. Building up the network costs a lot of money, and it's hard to make that investment pay off, he said, because all-you-can-use services tend to attract customers with bad credit records.

Going all-wireless made basic economic sense for Alex Story, however, who switched off his land line two months ago for the convenience and the savings.

"It finally dawned on me that I really didn't need a land line anymore," said Story, a 27-year-old Alexandria resident who had been paying monthly bills for land-line and cell-phone service for several years.

It's only in the past year or so -- when prices for cell-phone calls went down dramatically -- that Story started to use the wireless phone as his primary line. Now friends don't call his land line, and he's connected to the Internet through a cable modem, so he figured he could use the $30 a month elsewhere.

"It's sort of a no-brainer, from my perspective," he said.

washingtonpost.com



To: ~digs who wrote (341)1/11/2002 3:00:52 AM
From: stockman_scott  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 6763
 
The nine assassins of broadband

By John Dvorak, PC Magazine
Thursday January 10 09:12 AM EST

Broadband has managed to shoot itself in the foot over and over, says John Dvorak. To many people, broadband is a "Who needs it?" technology.

COMMENTARY--The failure of Excite@Home had little to do with technology and everything to do with mismanagement and idealism. The mismanagement became obvious when @Home spent over $6 billion to buy Excite, a company with no profits or prospects. That blunder aside, you have to wonder about a deeper, more fundamental problem: the idealism of the Broadband Revolution. It fed all sorts of broadband options, from streaming-media companies banking on Hollywood-on-demand scenarios to CLECs like Northpoint Communications hoping to cash in on the Telecommunications Act. It was a lost cause.

In fact, the lost cause of the Broadband Revolution lingers as dial-up continues to dominate the scene. As for broadband emerging as the dominant force, the numbers keep changing, and nobody knows anything anymore. To many people, broadband is a "Who needs it?" technology. Broadband has also managed to shoot itself in the foot over and over. Here is my list of the Nine Assassins of Broadband.

Dial-up domination. Here's the untold story of the year. All the major services report that dial-up subscriptions are increasing. I know a number of ISPs that are taking business away from DSL providers by using the new V.92/V.44 modems, which offer compressed throughput that exceeds 300 Kbps. The new modems will even do quick connects and let people take phone calls during an online session. Add two-line bonding and you have 600 Kbps.

The 24/7 conundrum. You've heard about how cool it is to be connected 24/7. Exactly why do we need to be connected 24/7? And who exactly wants to be connected 24/7 unless they are serving Web pages? Once people started getting 24/7 service, they ended up as transfer agents for viruses and denial-of-service attacks. The general public is not ready for 24/7 connectivity, and it's the most overrated and dangerous "benefit" of broadband thus far.

Price, price, price. Broadband is not as cheap as dial-up, and people now question the expense. Are we paying from $480 to $1,200 a year above what we already pay for phone or cable service just so we can save $10 on some online purchase? It doesn't add up as a good deal.

The bad scene. Lines go down, service is flaky, clueless repair personnel are insulting, there is no broadband "roaming," peak-hour traffic is worse than on dial-up....Should I continue?

Failure to deliver on promises. We're supposed to get all sorts of cool services with broadband. Those of us who have such connections have found nothing new. We seldom get full-speed downloads. Even streaming media comes over at the same herky-jerky slow speed that everyone else gets.

Bad reputation. Exactly how many DSL companies, such as Northpoint, went broke, leaving customers with no service? Cable modems promised more than they delivered, with people still complaining about service and throughput problems, especially during heavy-use periods. Fixed wireless is going nowhere, as Sprint seems to have lost interest and AT&T has shelved the concept. Two-way satellite has no takers. This is the current state of broadband: pathetic, with a black eye. People are now leery.

Cell phone threat. We are led to believe that we'll all be able to get 3G broadband over the cell phone, to the tune of 384 Kbps to 2 Mbps. Then we can hook a computer to a cell phone and get connected the way they do in Europe over GSM. Of course, the Europeans who like to brag about their connectivity over the cell system don't like to brag about the fact that the speed is actually 9,600 bps (true).

Saturation. How about this for an idea: Everyone who wants high-speed access already has it.

AOL syndrome. Oh, gosh, let's not forget that AOL dominates the Internet, despite its being a closed, proprietary system pretending to be "the Internet" with a gateway to the Web. Many of us thought AOL was training wheels for the Internet but never understood that the training wheels were welded to the bike! The AOL tokenized client/server model does not need a broadband connection to appear speedy. Most people are fine with dial-up and AOL.

The great Broadband Revolution is moribund, overrated, and misunderstood. What we have today is what we can expect to have in the years ahead: a rich Web, accessed through moderate connectivity (via AOL). You'll find all those people who banked on broadband in the unemployment line.