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Strategies & Market Trends : Booms, Busts, and Recoveries -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: TobagoJack who wrote (12801)	1/5/2002 1:21:30 PM
From: pezz	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 74559

<<and I expect the shorts are not losing money, yet,>> If so OK but not losing money won't fill the account. For now at least the battle goes to the longs On liquidity. The liquidity the fed created in 1998 in response to the asian crises resulted in higher stock prices ditto for the y2k thingy in 99. It's simple supply and demand More money than stock = higher stock prices ..... I know that's simplistic but I'm a simple kinda guy . <<a market that requires stock picking brilliance >> Look at the A/D line . You don't really have to be brilliant when more stocks are goin up than down.Ya just gotta stay away from those bad groups. Names Okey Dokey.... ELTE,bought late last week @ average 12.80[ inna red already ] NWRE bought the previous Friday and last Monday @ average 4.90 It's extended here but..., NMHC been buying for about a month average 9 sold 60% late Friday Maybe sell the rest Monday ,LANV bought about two? weeks ago average 3.35 expect to buy more Monday, BEL bought about a month or more? ago average 5.65.... I'll keep ya posted...... Often I do a lot of buying and selling.. If I start posting too much and bore you or the rest of the thread let me know an I'll stop.

To: TobagoJack who wrote (12801)	1/6/2002 12:06:10 AM
From: Juster	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 74559

Jay, I know that you are way brighter than I am, but I think your brilliance makes your risk tolerance too conservative. 2001 was very very good to me and not just since Sept 11th. We'll see about 2002. Justerx

To: TobagoJack who wrote (12801)	1/11/2002 11:08:44 PM
From: Maurice Winn	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 74559

Jay, there's something to be said for a lot of debt [not for the person with the debt unless it's leveraged them into QUALCOMM in 1998]. For "the economy" it's a good thing. Economies are not driven by a bunch of happy-go-lucky, south Pacific paradise troppo layabouts hooking snapper from the sea and mangoes off a tree, then dancing by a fire in the evening and sleeping contentedly in a little house on the shore, ready to view the ocean sunrise. Economies are driven by crazed, materialistic people, with a drive for progress and a Protestant work ethic, [or Confucian or other work ethic], with hungry mouths to feed. One of the things which give impetus is debt, as in "Snow White and the Seven Dwarfs", with the dwarfs marching off to the mine to work singing, "I owe! I owe! It's off to work I go." No debt and hassles from the debt collector and a lot of people would figure they might as well just take it easy and not bother with the latest CDMA cyberphone. That is NOT what we [meaning me] want. We want a lot of hungry materialistic maniacs racing down the freeway and working dawn to dusk, paying off their loans and buying more stuff to get some retail therapy to recover from a tough day in the cubicle and traffic jam. Hooray for debt. Bad luck for the lenders who will also have to go back to work and produce more stuff to make up their trade deficit. Uncle Al sure does know how to stimulate lenders and borrowers to get back to work producing and buying. Debtors just love low interest rates and have gone nuts shopping for SUVs and all sorts of things. Now they are hooked and will have to work until they drop. Especially when interest rates start rising again. Monks don't make a market. That's my theory anyway. Mqurice PS: I saw a little joke today. In Britain, they no longer speak about 'spending a penny'. They say 'euronating'. I thought it was funny anyway.