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Strategies & Market Trends : Zeev's Turnips - No Politics -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Psycho-Social who wrote (19620)1/8/2002 1:08:10 PM
From: LTK007  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 99280
 
<<It has held true in both bear markets and bull markets since 1987.>> psy imo this is just too narrow a time frame.Russell when speaks is talking in 100 year time frame.We have not had a secular bear market since 1966 which ended in 81/82.Barton Biggs,another 50years or more experience on WS has stated he won't call the bear over until he sees 4-months of outflow from the funds.
And now a question are hedge funds counted in these figures?? Hedge funds portion of the market money has increased greatly and will be continuing to increase.
Hedge Funds now accounnt for wellover a trillion dollars.I would surmise that increasing Hedge Fund growth(MFunds are creating them themselves) indicates a view that we could be in for a secular bear in which only swing traders make money.No one made money via LTBH indexing during the last secular bear that lasted near 16years,but swing traders did excellently.Max