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Strategies & Market Trends : Booms, Busts, and Recoveries -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: carranza2 who wrote (13400)	1/14/2002 1:47:12 AM
From: pezz	Respond to of 74559

With all do respect I beg to differ on several counts. <<Unemployment is going to get a lot worse. >> Of course but you must be aware that unemployment is a lagging indicator. <<. Deflation is showing its ugly head>> although last months overall CPI dropped more than average one month does not make a trend and the core [ which is all that really matters ] has been on average keeping with recent years .... <<. The torrents of liquidity opened up by the Fed have had no impact at all on the recession though they were released more than six months ago.>> It takes 9 months to a year to have an effect or so I'm told....So at this stage we is gettin just what would be expected. <<The blood will run >> NASDAQ down some 70% top to bottom...If that ain't blood I don't know what is. <<In my view, this optimism is not justified. >> I hear lotsa this. it has become too popular as I said Thus I take the true contrarian view and go long.