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Strategies & Market Trends : VOLTAIRE'S PORCH-MODERATED -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Sully- who wrote (46445)1/15/2002 10:54:21 AM
From: Jim Willie CB  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 65232
 
OPEC revenues will fall as US$ slips
crude oil is dollar denominated
Arabs are angry at USA

Rubin engineered a strong dollar for Clinton
now it is hurting the US economy and its recovery
Bush is first prez in postwar history to talk about weakening the dollar
the launch of the Euro will enable this to be set in motion

the US$ has been aberrantly strong for a couple years
its favor as reserve currency is clear
keeping it strong allows our trade deficit to be reduced
but now the tide is turning
its strength is hurting the US econ recovery

wait until the US$ starts to slip
our trade deficit will shoot up
our foreign held stockholders will sell off somewhat
trouble is: currency momentum lasts for years
/ jim