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Strategies & Market Trends : VOLTAIRE'S PORCH-MODERATED -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Dealer who wrote (46526)1/16/2002 10:12:36 AM
From: Jim Willie CB  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 65232
 
real value: INTC = 20, CSCO = 8
Intel's growth is so limited
new markets are a pipeline dream, not a lock
PC growth is stuck in mud
Asian mfg will keep undercutting prices of chips generally
Grove's successor is no Grove
telecom expansion has many competitors
next generation of devices will be non-PC

Cisco is a sham
financial reporting has similar shades of deceit as Enron
reports are deceiving, if not directly false
self-touting is inaccurate
acquisitions have largely been a disaster
founders and top engineers depart
so they dont acquire talent, they just pay up for nothing
new markets are a pipeline dream, not a lock
networking growth is stuck in mud
excess capacity and excess inventory is enormous
secondary market in Cisco products is alarming
their growth sector is now dead: dotcoms

next leg down for Naz should be clear before April
my guess is several back2back down days of at least 75 pts

if not simple recession stalls, then world oil prices
maybe both
Wolfowitz is gaining mindshare against Powell
/ jw



To: Dealer who wrote (46526)1/16/2002 12:20:32 PM
From: stockman_scott  Respond to of 65232
 
Zeev Hed's 2002 forecast...

Message 16842549