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Strategies & Market Trends : VOLTAIRE'S PORCH-MODERATED -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Mannie who wrote (46537)1/16/2002 4:40:44 PM
From: Jim Willie CB  Respond to of 65232
 
reality water splash into face
JPMorgan and Intel offer clear forward guidance
extrapolating to the whole economy is getting easier

recovery will be slow
recovery will be late
recovery in technology might be last
recovery in telecom and fiberopt might be next year

banks will be showing summo losses
sliding dollar might lead to slightly faster recovery than expected
but at the expense of stock index prices

poor job market will weigh down property values
as the economy does recover, higher mortgage rates will lead to lower property values even further

the more the Fed infuses cash into money supply, the more guarded the bond vigilantes are for imminent inflation
they are probably way early wrong, but higher rates have happened nonetheless
(I love that word "nonetheless")

chasing momo stocks will get you killed
holding value stocks will buy you time
microcaps with value are the safest imho
cash might be best

buying jerkweed stocks like CSCO and INTC at 3-7x growth is a prescription for soiling one's undies

big name = big losses
nonethemore

how do we price stocks as MidEast wars widen ?
/ Jim