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Technology Stocks : Cisco Systems, Inc. (CSCO) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Stock Farmer who wrote (56738)1/16/2002 5:07:50 PM
From: RetiredNow  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 77400
 
OK. Assuming your facts below are correct, we won't see Cisco be able to duplicate this action again in the future. Remember part of the arsenal through which they've been able to perpetrate this magical cash magnetism is the use of pooling accounting. That's gone, which means we'll see the direct affect of their acquisitions on both the balance sheet and the income statement. So one bullet gone from the barrel. The other part of their arsenal was a small o/s share number, which they split every year duping investors into thinking they had more of the pie. Remember the phenomenon of a pop in the stock price when splits were announced? Well, that's the second bullet gone from the barrel. Third, the company relied on an ever increasing stock price and off-income statement payroll financing through the use of stock options to cash in again. That bullet, which was a doozy, is now gone as well since the stock price isn't going anywhere and employees no longer think stock options are a no brainer.

So my point is this. My contention is that sure Cisco isn't going to rake in cash hand over fist like it used to. In fact, we should definitely see cash from operations contract. But I bet we will see it stabilize and still generate increases in cash every quarter, mostly from good oldfashioned, quality of earnings, which the company is now focused on.

Your assertions would lead me to believe that you contend that Cisco will no longer be able to generate any cash flows whatsoever. I just don't believe that is true. Their financial statements belie that contention. If you were correct, however, then I'd argue we have another Enron in the making. But I too have read the financial statements with a former CPA's and a former finance guys eye, and I still see a fundamentally sound company with very conservative accounting practices, especially now that pooling is no longer used.