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Strategies & Market Trends : Stock Attack II - A Complete Analysis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: TechTrader42 who wrote (27800)1/16/2002 9:40:29 PM
From: dennis michael patterson  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 52237
 
I heard Kumar this am and he was "trading buy bullish" on Intc. I think we bounce these next few days-- all those CSCO options need expiring! And B Beara reports heavy bear leanings in Rydex. Can they all be right?



To: TechTrader42 who wrote (27800)1/16/2002 10:10:28 PM
From: Joseph Silent  Respond to of 52237
 
Talking about Niles ....

The rumor is that ...... when he was given his first Intel on his maiden safari in the dense jungles of Organ Stanley, he went out of his way to inquire about the modem setup from Livingston Enterprises (Pleasonton, CA; suppliers of Portmaster Communication Servers), asking with an impeccable lisp, after weeks of chewing on paper fed to him off the Intel press, "If a Livingfin, I prefume?".

There is something bizzaro-world-like about this story, but I'll be damned if I can figure out what it is.

Joseph :)



To: TechTrader42 who wrote (27800)1/17/2002 8:16:52 AM
From: stockman_scott  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 52237
 
Stocks: Are Expectations too rosy?

Dr. Sung Won Sohn
Chief Economic Officer
Wells Fargo & Co.
(612) 6677498

January 14, 2002

drsohn.com

<<...After the worst setback in corporate profits since 1938, earnings are projected to jump in 2002. Corporate profits are determined by two factors: volume and margins. The best measure of volume is industrial production, not economic growth (chart 6). As inventories are rebuilt, production will rise faster than economic growth. The lack of pricing power will be a problem, but margins can still rise due to a slower rate of increase in wages and salaries; this is exactly what happened after the 1991 recession.

The market has already factored in healthy economic rebound and rosy earnings; the market is somewhat overvalued and some disappointments are likely. For example, about 60 percent of the increase in profits in 2002 is supposed to come from the tech sector which doubled in price since the bottom on September 21. The sales and earnings in the tech sector may not match the expectation of the market.

Aside from the strength of economic recovery and rich valuations, there are other risks including energy costs, Japan, etc. Unlike the 1990s when the bulls punched through all the barriers, the market now is more sensitive to the surrounding economic and political environment...>>