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To: yard_man who wrote (144479)1/17/2002 8:38:29 PM
From: mishedlo  Respond to of 436258
 
Someone on my board on the FOOL asked about a "replay" with MSFT max pain at 70.
Here was my reply:
==========================================================
No you do not get a replay.
I have a different rule than everyone else for determining max pain correctness.
If within a few days of expiry a stock hits close to max pain (from the wild blue yonder or wherever), I call it a score.

What you are missing is delta hedging.
If a stock hits max pain and starts sinking/rising (well the powers that be hedged their bets by going short or long the prerequisite number of shares required to ensure a no loss scenario on 1 side of the bet and a 100% gain on the other).

They would just assume have them all expire wortheless but in the midst a big selling/buying spree they will prop up the stock with buy/sell orders at the prerequisite price and the stock will "gravitate" towards that number, then they will let it fly/sink.

So no.
You do not get a second chance to short MSFT at 70.
I have no idea what I was thinking of (or not thinking of cause when it rallied to 70 today it was a no brain short), with an enormous number of calls sitting at 70.
============================================================
My early call today of delta hedging (on the turnip board)was correct.

M



To: yard_man who wrote (144479)1/17/2002 10:02:56 PM
From: LLCF  Respond to of 436258
 
Now everyones surprised that ENRON paid no taxes..... HELLO???

DAK