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Strategies & Market Trends : Stock Attack II - A Complete Analysis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: stomper who wrote (28021)1/20/2002 1:33:02 PM
From: stockman_scott  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 52237
 
Crime in the Suites

FEATURE STORY
The Nation
February 4, 2002
by William Greider
National Affairs Correspondent

The collapse of Enron has swiftly morphed into a go-to-jail financial scandal, laden with
the heavy breathing of political fixers, but Enron makes visible a more profound
scandal--the failure of market orthodoxy itself. Enron, accompanied by a supporting cast
from banking, accounting and Washington politics, is a virtual piñata of corrupt practices
and betrayed obligations to investors, taxpayers and voters. But these matters ought not to
surprise anyone, because they have been familiar, recurring outrages during the recent reign
of high-flying Wall Street. This time, the distinctive scale may make it harder to brush them
aside. "There are many more Enrons out there," a well-placed Washington lawyer
confided. He knows because he has represented a couple of them.

The rot in America's financial system is structural
and systemic. It consists of lying, cheating and
stealing on a grand scale, but most offenses seem
depersonalized because the transactions are so
complex and remote from ordinary human
criminality. The various cops-and-robbers
investigations now under way will provide the story
line for coming months, but the heart of the matter
lies deeper than individual venality. In this era of
deregulation and laissez-faire ideology, the essential
premise has been that market forces discipline and
punish the errant players more effectively than
government does. To produce greater efficiency and
innovation, government was told to back off, and it
largely has. "Transparency" became the exalted
buzzword. The market discipline would be exercised
by investors acting on honest information supplied by the banks and brokerages holding
their money, "independent" corporate directors and outside auditors, and regular disclosure
reports required by the Securities and Exchange Commission and other regulatory
agencies. The Enron story makes a sick joke of all these safeguards.

But the rot consists of more than greed and ignorance. The evolving new forms of finance
and banking, joined with the permissive culture in Washington, produced an exotic
structural nightmare in which some firms are regulated and supervised while others are not.
They converge, however, with kereitzu-style back-scratching in the business of lending
and investing other people's money. The results are profoundly conflicted loyalties in banks
and financial firms--who have fiduciary obligations to the citizens who give them money to
invest. Banks and brokerages often cannot tell the truth to retail customers, depositors or
investors without potentially injuring the corporate clients that provide huge commissions
and profits from investment deals. Sometimes bankers cannot even tell the truth to
themselves because they have put their own capital (or government-insured deposits) at
risk in the deals. These and other deformities will not be cleaned up overnight (if at all,
given the bipartisan political subservience to Wall Street interests). But Enron ought to be
seen as the casebook for fundamental reform.

The people bilked in Enron's sudden implosion were not only the 12,000 employees
whose 401(k) savings disappeared while Enron insiders were smartly cashing out more
than $1 billion of their own shares. The other losers are working people across America.
Enron was effectively owned by them. On June 30, before the CEO abruptly resigned and
the stock price began its terminal decline, 64 percent of Enron's 744 million shares were
owned by institutional investors, mainly pension funds but also mutual funds in which
families have individual accounts. At midyear, the company was valued at $36.5 billion,
having fallen from $70 billion in less than six months. The share price is now close to zero.
Either way you figure it, ordinary Americans--the beneficial owners of pension funds--lost
$25-$50 billion because they were told lies by the people and firms they trusted to protect
their interests.

This is a shocking but not a new development. Global Crossing went from $60 a share to
pennies (as with Enron, the market had said it was worth more than General Motors).
CEO Gary Winnick cashed out early for $600 million, but the insiders did not share the
bad news with other shareholders. Workers at telephone companies bought by Global
Crossing had been compelled to accept its stock in their retirement plans. (Winnick bought
a $60 million home in Bel Air, said to be the highest-priced single-family dwelling in
America.) Lucent's stock price tanked with similar consequences for employees and
shareholders, while executives sold $12 million in shares back to the failing company.
(After running Lucent into the ground, CEO Richard McGinn left with an $11.3 million
severance package.) There are many Enrons, as the lawyer said.

The disorder writ large by the Enron story is this regular plundering of ordinary
Americans, who are saving on their own or who have accepted deferred wages in the
form of future retirement benefits. Major pension funds can and do sue for damages
when they are defrauded, but this is obviously an impotent form of discipline. Labor
Department officials have known the vulnerable spots in pension-fund protection for many
years and regularly sent corrective amendments to Congress--ignored under both parties.
In the financial world, the larceny is effectively decriminalized--culprits typically settle in
cash with fines or settlements, without admitting guilt but promising not to do it again. If
jailtime deters garden-variety crime, maybe it would be useful therapy for corporate and
financial behavior.

The most important reform that could flow from these disasters is legislation that gives
employees, union and nonunion, a voice and role in supervising their own pension funds as
well as the growing 401(k) plans. In Enron's case, the employees who were not wiped out
were sheet-metal workers at subsidiaries acquired by Enron whose union locals insisted on
keeping their own separately managed pension funds. Labor-managed pension funds, with
holdings of about $400 billion, are dwarfed by corporate-controlled funds, in which the
future beneficiaries are frequently manipulated to enhance the company's bottom line. Yet
pension funds supervised jointly by unions and management give better average benefits
and broader coverage (despite a few scandals of their own). If pension boards included
people whose own money is at stake, it could be a powerful enforcer of responsible
behavior.

page 2

The corporate transgressions could not have occurred if the supposedly independent
watchdogs in the system had not failed to execute their obligations. Wendy Gramm,
wife of Senator Phil, the leading Congressional patron of banking's privileges, is an
"independent" director of Enron and supposedly speaks for the broader interests of other
stakeholders, from the employees to outside shareholders. Instead, she sold early too.
With notable exceptions, the "independent" directors on most corporate boards are a
well-known sham--typically handpicked by the CEO and loyal to him, even while serving
on the executive compensation committees that ratify bloated CEO pay packages. The
poster boy for this charade is Michael Eisner of Disney. As CEO, he must answer to a
board of directors that includes the principal of his kids' elementary school, actor Sidney
Poitier, the architect who designed Eisner's Aspen home and a university president whose
school got a $1 million donation from Eisner. As Robert A.G. Monks and Nell Minow,
leading critics of corporate governance, asked in one of their books: "Who is watching the
watchers?"

Do not count on "independent" auditors, as Arthur
Andersen vividly demonstrated at Enron. While
previous scandals did not involve massive
document-shredding, Andersen's behavior is actually
typical among the Big Five accounting firms that
monopolize commercial/financial auditing worldwide.
Andersen already faces SEC investigation for its role
in "Chainsaw Al" Dunlap's butchery of Sunbeam and
has paid $110 million to settle Sunbeam investors'
damage suits. A decade ago Andersen fronted for
Charles Keating's notorious Lincoln Savings &
Loan, which bilked the elderly and then collapsed at
taxpayer expense--despite a prestigious seal of
approval from Alan Greenspan (Keating went to
prison; Greenspan became Federal Reserve
Chairman). But why pick on Arthur Andersen?
Ernst & Young paid out even more for "recklessly misrepresenting" the profit claims of
Cendant Corporation--$335 million to the New York and California public-employee
pension funds. Cendant itself has paid out $2.8 billion to injured investors, but hopes to
recover some money by suing Ernst & Young. PriceWaterhouseCoopers handled the
books at Lucent, accused of inflating profits by $679 million in 2000 and prompting yet
another SEC investigation.

The corruption of customary auditing--and the fact that an industry-sponsored board sets
the arcane accounting tricks for determining whether profits are real or fictitious--is driven
partly by the Big Five's dual role as consultants and auditors. First they help a company set
its business strategy, then they examine the books to see if management is telling the truth.
This egregious conflict of interest should have been prohibited long ago, but the scandal has
reached a ripeness that now calls for a more radical solution--the creation of public
auditors, hired by government, paid by insurance fees levied on industry and completely
insulated from private interests or politics. Actually, this isn't a very radical idea, since the
government already exercises the same close scrutiny and supervision over commercial
banks. Because that banking sector lost its primary role in lending during the past two
decades, the same public auditing and supervisory protections should be extended to cover
the unregulated money-market firms and funds that have displaced the bankers. Enron is
unregulated, though it functioned like a giant financial house. So is GE Capital, a money
pool much larger than all but a few commercial banks. Mutual funds and hedge funds are
essentially free of government scrutiny. So are the exotic financial derivatives that Enron
sold and that led to shocking breakdowns like the bankruptcy of Orange County,
California.

The government failed too, mainly by going limp in its due diligence but also by
withdrawing responsibility through legislative deregulation. The one brave exception was
Arthur Levitt, Clinton's SEC commissioner, who gamely raised some of these questions,
but without much effect because he was hammered by the industry and its Congressional
cheerleaders. Corrupt accountants and investment bankers now have a friendlier
commissioner at the SEC--lawyer Harvey Pitt, whose firm has represented Arthur
Andersen, each of the Big Five and Ivan Boesky, whose fraud case was settled for $100
million. Pitt blames Arthur Levitt's inquiries for upsetting the accounting industry's
self-regulation. Given his connections, Pitt should not just recuse himself from the Enron
case--a crisis of legitimacy for the SEC--he should be compelled to resign. Similarly
sympathetic cops are scattered throughout the regulatory agencies. At the Federal
Reserve, a new governor, Mark Olson, headed "regulatory consulting" in Ernst & Young's
Washington office. Another new Fed governor, Memphis banker Susan Bies, has been an
active opponent of strengthening derivatives regulation.

But the heart of the scandal resides in New York, not Washington. The major houses of
Wall Street play a double game with their customers--doing investment deals with
companies in their private offices while their stock analysts are out front whipping up
enthusiasm for the same companies' stocks. Think of Goldman Sachs still advising a "buy"
on Enron shares last fall, even as the company abruptly revealed a $1.2 billion erasure in
shareholder equity. Goldman earned $69 million from Enron underwriting in recent years,
the leader among the $323 million Enron paid Wall Street firms. Think of the young Henry
Blodget, now famous as Merrill Lynch's never-say-sell tout for the same Nasdaq clients
whose fees helped fuel Blodget's $5-million-a-year income (Merrill has begun settling
investor lawsuits in cash). Think of Mary Meeker at Morgan Stanley Dean Witter, dubbed
the "Queen of the Net" for pumping up Internet firms while Morgan Stanley was taking in
$480 million in fees on Internet IPOs. The conflict is not exactly new but has reached
staggering dimensions. The brokers whose stock tips you can trust are the ones who don't
offer any.

The larger and far more dangerous conflict of interest lies in the convergence of
government-insured commercial banks and the investment banks, because this marriage
has the potential not only to burn investors but to shake the financial system and entire
economy. If the newly created and top-heavy mega-banks get in trouble, their friends in
power may arrange another cozy government bailout for those it deems "too big to fail."
The banking convergence, slyly under way for years, was formally legalized in the 1999
repeal of Glass-Steagall, the New Deal law that separated the two sectors to eliminate the
very kind of self-dealing that the Enron case suggests may be threatening again. We don't
yet know how much damage has been done to the banking system, but its losses seem to
grow with each new revelation. JP Morgan Chase and Citigroup provided billions to Enron
while also stage-managing its huge investment deals around the world and arranging a
fire-sale buyout by Dynergy that failed (Morgan also played financial backstop for Enron's
various kinds of trading transactions). Instead of backing off and demanding more prudent
management, these two banks lent additional billions during Enron's final days, perhaps
trying to save their own positions (we don't yet know). Instead of warning other banks of
the rising dangers, Chase and Citi led the happy talk. Both have syndicated many billions in
bank loans to other commercial banks--a rich fee-generating business that allows them to
pass the risks on to others (federal regulators report that the volume of "adversely
classified" syndicated loans has risen to 8 percent, tripling the problem loans since 1998).

These facts may help explain why former Treasury Secretary Robert Rubin, now of
Citigroup, called an old friend at Treasury and suggested federal intervention. Rubin's bank
has a large and growing hole in its own loan portfolio. Could Treasury please pressure the
credit-rating agencies, Rubin asked, not to downgrade Enron? Though he styles himself as
a high-minded public servant, Rubin was trying to save his own ass. Indeed, he called the
very Treasury official who, as an officer of the New York Federal Reserve back in 1998,
had engineered the cozy bailout of Long Term Capital Management--the failing hedge fund
that Citigroup, Merrill and other major financial houses had financed. Gentlemanly
solicitude for big boys who get in trouble connects Washington with Wall Street and spans
both political parties.

In this new world of laissez-faire, when things go blooey, the government itself is
exposed to risk alongside hapless investors--if the commercial banks are lending
federally insured deposits along with their own investment plays or are exercising what
amounts to an equity position in the failed management. This is allegedly forbidden by
"firewalls" within the mega-banks, but when a banker gets in deep enough trouble, he may
be tempted to use the creative accounting needed to slip around firewalls. "A bank that has
equity shares in a company that goes south can no longer make neutral, objective
judgments about when to cut off credit," said Tom Schlesinger, executive director of the
Financial Markets Center. "The rationale for repealing Glass-Steagall was that it would
create more diversified banks and therefore more stability. What I see in these mega-banks
is not diversification but more concentration of risk, which puts the taxpayers on the hook.
It also creates a financial sector much less responsive to the real needs of the economy."

The fallacies of our era are on the table now, visible for all to see, but the follies are unlikely
to be challenged promptly--not without great political agitation. The other obvious
deformity exposed by Enron is the insidious corruption of democracy by political money.
The routine buying of politicians, federal regulators and laws does not constitute a
go-to-jail scandal since it all appears to be legal. But we do have a strong new brief for enacting campaign finance reform that is real. The market ideology has produced the best government that money can buy. The looting is unlikely to end so long as democracy is for sale.

___________________________________________________

William Greider, a prominent political journalist and author, has been a reporter for more than 35 years for newspapers, magazines and television. Over the past two decades, he has persistently challenged mainstream thinking on economics.

For 17 years Greider was the National Affairs Editor at Rolling Stone magazine, where his investigation of the defense establishment began. He is a former assistant managing editor at the Washington Post, where he worked for fifteen years as a national correspondent, editor and columnist. While at the Post, he broke the story of how David Stockman, Ronald Reagan's budget director, grew disillusioned with supply-side economics and the budget deficits that policy caused, which still burden the American economy.

He is the author of the national bestsellers One World, Ready or Not, Secrets of the Temple and Who Will Tell The People. In the award-winning Secrets of the Temple, he offered a critique of the Federal Reserve system. Greider has also served as a correspondent for six Frontline documentaries on PBS, including "Return to Beirut," which won an Emmy in 1985.

Raised in Wyoming, Ohio, a suburb of Cincinnati, he graduated from Princeton University in 1958. He currently lives in Washington, DC.

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