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Technology Stocks : How high will Microsoft fly? -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: dybdahl who wrote (64296)	1/20/2002 9:45:01 AM
From: Bill Fischofer	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 74651

Old OSes never die, they just stop growing. But I agree that the best growth years of the proprietary Unix market are probably past. It's an old astronomy joke that the solar system can be approximated as the Sun, Jupiter, and debris. In a similar vein it looks like the OS market going forward will consist of Windows, Linux, and debris.

To: dybdahl who wrote (64296)	1/20/2002 10:40:32 AM
From: Joseph Pareti	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 74651

>. Proprietary Unix'es will be history or a niche market in not too many years could you please explain what "proprietary Unix'es" are. I thought UNIX was a standard (isn't it cool that everyone has their own standard :-) ?

To: dybdahl who wrote (64296)	1/20/2002 10:49:42 AM
From: alydar	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 74651

hi dy, i respectfully disagree with you on this point. in fact, i think that the unix market is consolidating around solaris. also, i think that linux is going to become very fragmented with versions such as ibm, aol, redhat, suse, etc. etc. all customized to fit each particular application. the fact that aol is looking at redhats version is because they do not need the power of solaris . aol is an sunw customer but i would not be suprised to find them using redhat linux with staroffice on top as the application platform. no need for msft's os or application software then in about 80% situations. linux is great but someone has to be accountable when problems arise and they will. whether it's aol, ibm or whoever they will take responsibility and service the problem. that is not entirely free and will come with a cost. as long as sunw can interoperate with linux they will do just fine. in fact, they support linux and you will see linux and staroffice as a product offerring. the only one this is going to hurt is msft. the os is going to be a give a way item soon and we all know msft generates huge amounts of cash from their own proprietary breed. lastly, you should really listen to sunw's latest conference call. they have a complete hardware/software architectural system from the enterprise to embedded devices like cell phones. all forward and backward compatible using industry standards like java, etc. the race for development is not windows and linux it is between java and .net. will their be a another monopoly like msft soon. i highly doubt it. i see orcl with their premier database and application suite along with a commoditity app server having a chance to dominate the business arena but another msft is a long ways off. linux is a nice feature in the overall scheme of things but it is not going to reshape the IT world as some might hope and think. rocky.