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To: im a survivor who wrote (1278)	1/24/2002 12:40:43 AM
From: tech101	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 2772

Rprt: Bandwidth Demand - 1/16/02 by: si1verfish Long-Term Sentiment: Strong Buy 01/18/02 11:05 am Msg: 3606 of 3611 (InternetWire) Continued Internet Traffic Growth Portends Upswing In Carrier Spending, Says Internet Founder The Internet Is Still Growing Fast Enough To Exceed The Capacity Of Carrier Networks' Current Architectures, According To Latest Updated Research By Dr. Lawrence Roberts SAN JOSE, CA -- (INTERNET WIRE) -- 01/16/02 -- The Internet has continued to grow, even in the face of economic slowdown and terrorist attack, according to new traffic measurements released today by Internet founder and respected network scientist Dr. Lawrence Roberts. And the continued growth in Internet traffic has contributed to shaping the IP carrier competitive landscape in unexpected ways, the research found. Latest data from the 20 leading tier 1 IP network service provider networks in the U.S. reveals that the Internet has continued to grow at roughly the same growth rate it's been averaging since it began growing aggressively in the early 90s. Over the almost two-year period of Roberts' study, April 2000 through the present, Internet traffic has been found to be growing annually by a factor of three. Traffic had been found to be growing even faster in the first period of Roberts' analysis, April 2000 through April 2001. Over that one-year period, traffic was measured to have grown at a factor of four. In the context of the research team's longer measured time period, however, the 4x growth was a temporary anomaly on an otherwise smooth 3x curve. Roberts' findings run counter to some networking vendors, analysts and media that have suggested the growth of the Internet is slowing. The confusion stemmed from statements and speculation on the capacity of carrier networks, not the traffic across them. Other reports have confused growth in carrier revenue with growth in traffic, or assumed direct relationships between the two. Roberts' work is the first scientific measurement of traffic data since The U.S. National Science Foundation ceased tracking American Internet traffic in 1995. Implications And Surprise Findings "The biggest implication of these findings is that carriers are going to be spending again soon. There are scientific limits to how much their networks can handle before performance degrades to levels that customers will no longer accept." Roberts presented his findings today in a keynote address at a CIBC World Markets conference in San Francisco co-hosted by Stephen Kamman, CIBC's Executive Director, Networking & Internet Infrastructure. A summary of Roberts' findings can be downloaded from the website of his latest venture, Caspian Networks, at www.caspiannetworks.com. Contact: Dallas Kachan, Caspian Networks Phone: 408-353-9509 Email: dzk@caspiannetworks.com