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Strategies & Market Trends : Waiting for the big Kahuna -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: William H Huebl who wrote (56577)1/23/2002 8:26:31 PM
From: BubbaFred  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 94695
 
I think it meant to say the biggest drop by points and percentage started late in third quarter of 2000, and from a level lower than the peak in March 2000. It came after a 20+% recovery of the first drop from March to April. Presently the rebound from oversold condition has been weak and lazy, and although there is still chance of a rebound to the 2020 level, it will be shortlived because several indicators (MACD, stochastics, RSI) are already in negative mode and the upmove from late September never get support. Therefore, the a likely scenario is weak rally that is certain to fail and followed by a retest of the 1500.

As always, BWDIK !



To: William H Huebl who wrote (56577)1/23/2002 11:25:54 PM
From: Real Man  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 94695
 
With the US market reaching in 2000 1.5x Japanese overvaluation (at 1989 peak) and almost 2x 1929 level - I believe, at least 75% haircut for the broader indexes should be considered as a normal bear reaction. NASDAQ was in stratosphere, so it should crash to zero. Now, who caused that rally today -ggg-