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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Dennis O'Bell who wrote (17116)	1/23/2002 9:32:01 PM
From: Nadine Carroll	Respond to of 281500

I get the sense that you know what is going to hit the fan the moment he manages to get out of there somehow. He's got to be hopping mad right now. Well that's been the pattern during the whole intifada, everything gets worse the minute Arafat leaves the country. That was one of Israel's chief reasons for grounding Arafat in Ramallah. But I don't think it will function as insurance for much longer. Arafat is going down the tubes, and it's not in his character to go quietly. He's going to create the biggest conflagration in his power, then run around to world powers looking for another rescue. Let's see, who would rescue him now? Let's review his career disasters. In 1970 he tried to kill King Hussein and got thrown out of Jordan with over 5000 dead. Nasser rescued him from destruction that time. In 1982 Sharon was bearing down on him in Beirut. The US arranged his exile to Tunis. I don't think Egypt or the US will volunteer for the rescue mission this time. The EU will probably try, but they will have to persuade the US to be successful.