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Strategies & Market Trends : Booms, Busts, and Recoveries -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Maurice Winn who wrote (13856)1/24/2002 4:54:46 AM
From: LLCF  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 74559
 
<CB, my theory is herds of humans doing dumb things>

Ahhh, it's usually a flaw in the very base that causes these problems. The correct wording is "herds FORCED to do dumb things"- like sell stocks, cars, homes [give to bank] when they lose their jobs.

<But, the tidying up will be completed>

Yes, it will.

DAK



To: Maurice Winn who wrote (13856)1/24/2002 11:33:27 AM
From: Ilaine  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 74559
 
Hi Mq - I agree with your assessment of boom-n-bust in sharemarkets, a phenomenon which has been fairly well studied over the past few centuries.

Which was why I suggested talking about macroeconomies - I disagree that busts in sharemarkets causes busts in macroeconomies (because I don't "get" the mechanism of transmission), although I can see how a bust in a macroeconomy would cause a bust in the sharemarket.

Parenthetically, spring semester at GMU just started Tuesday. There are around ten sections of Money and Banking, but I picked the section I am taking because the professor is somewhat unusual in having us read books with historical interest - we have to divide up the class into groups and each group reads one economic history book and explains it to the class. All of the books look very interesting, like one about the development of sharemarkets in Amsterdam and London, or the one about the history of banking in colonial America, or the one about free banking in Britain, but I picked Barry Eichengreen's "Globalizing Capital: a History of the International Monetary System."



To: Maurice Winn who wrote (13856)1/24/2002 2:47:59 PM
From: carranza2  Respond to of 74559
 
The gist of your post could be put into one pithy word invented by Soros:

REFLEXIVITY.

The power of group delusions is far greater than the power of rationality. If we can remember that, and act upon on it, we will all become rich.