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To: Jim Willie CB who wrote (46964)1/24/2002 9:54:49 AM
From: Mannie  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 65232
 
And as old fashioned accounting comes back, it will become obvious how much bubblism is left in our markets.



To: Jim Willie CB who wrote (46964)1/24/2002 12:55:50 PM
From: stockman_scott  Respond to of 65232
 
Ken Lay Quits And Spins

By Dan Ackman
Thursday January 24, 8:50 am Eastern Time
Forbes.com

Kenneth Lay, the longtime chairman and chief executive of bankrupt Enron , quit his post last night. As always, he was thinking about the other guy.

"I want to see Enron survive, and for that to happen we need someone at the helm who can focus 100% of his efforts on reorganizing the company and preserving value for our creditors and hard-working employees," Lay said in a statement released by the company. He added that his decision was made "in cooperation" with the company's creditors.

Enron Special Report: Enron's Endgame To the end, Lay was hard at work himself, spinning. "Unfortunately, with the multiple inquiries and investigations that currently require much of my time, it is becoming increasingly difficult to concentrate fully on what is most important to Enron stakeholders," he said.

Lay is being straightforward--by Enron standards--when he says this. But the reorganization bit is another stretcher. Enron has already sold its trading business, which accounted for more than 90% of its purported $101 billion in revenue. (For why that revenue was largely phony, see"Enron The Incredible.") The price paid initially by UBS Warburg , the Swiss bank, was zero.

The harder assets, such as pipelines and foreign energy plants, may be salable, but it's hard to believe those assets would not be more valuable stripped of the name Enron. Lawyers representing creditors told Forbes.com that while they have not challenged Enron's legal right to present a plan of reorganization, liquidation is the more likely outcome.

Meanwhile, the investigation into the Enron documents shredding is intensifying. A subcommittee of the House Energy and Commerce Committee will hold hearings on Capitol Hill today, focusing on actions by Arthur Andersen , Enron's auditor. Subcommittee chairman James Greenwood (R-Pa.) said yesterday that his investigators had determined that up to 80 people had received orders to destroy papers.

Greenwood said that revelation made dubious Andersen's attempts to blame rogue executives for the destruction, some of which continued even after Enron received subpoenas from the Securities and Exchange Commission.

David Duncan, the Andersen accountant who headed the Enron audit and who has been fired by the firm, is scheduled to testify today. But his lawyers have indicated that he will invoke his Fifth Amendment right not to incriminate himself. Duncan has already spoken to the committee in private, but not under oath. The hearings today will be Congress' first public exploration into the collapse of Enron.

Greenwood was incredulous at the idea that Duncan was primarily responsible for the shredding. "Do you believe that 80 Andersen employees were directed by Mr. Duncan to violate an express provision of policy by Andersen in the face of yet another investigation, and none of them picked up the phone and called their superiors and said,

'This doesn't seem right' "? he asked. "The question we need to get to is, Were there instructions from above."

So far, Enron's executives such as Lay, Jeffrey Skilling, his former second in command, and Andrew Fastow, the former chief financial officer fired in October, have benefited from all the attention focused on Andersen, whose executives have been comparatively forthcoming. But the problem with Andersen was that it was working too directly for Enron, rather than fulfilling its duty to the public. (See Accounting For Texans...

forbes.com

In October 2001, Andersen's Duncan wrote a memo warning that Enron's Oct. 16, 2001, press release announcing a $1.2 billion reduction in the company's net worth was itself misleading since it should not have referred to its losses as based on one-time events. The memo also warned of possible action by the SEC.

Congressional investigators who released the memo described it as "internal," and it is not clear who received it. One person who might have benefited from reading was Wendy Gramm, a college professor in Washington, D.C., and the wife of Sen. Phil Gramm (R-Texas). Wendy Gramm was a member of the Enron's board's Audit Committee.

Yesterday, Sen. Gramm said he and his wife lost nearly $700,000 in deferred compensation when Enron went bankrupt. But prior to the bust, the senator said he and his wife, a former head of the Commodity Futures Trading Commission, made a point of not discussing business. She has been named as a defendant in shareholder lawsuits.

"My wife and I have had parallel careers ever since we came to Washington,'' he said. "When we go home, we talk about important things like Texas A&M football, me taking out the garbage, those kind of things.''

Now the senator--who was one of the top recipients of Enron's political contributions--has spoken. His wife, the Enron director, is still silent.



To: Jim Willie CB who wrote (46964)1/24/2002 3:49:02 PM
From: stockman_scott  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 65232
 
Enron's board should have known better

By W. Michael Hoffman and Dawn-Marie Driscoll
from the January 24, 2002 edition
The Christian Science Monitor

WALTHAM, MASS. - The failure of corporate governance was at the heart of Enron's collapse. The role of Enron's board of directors was to oversee how profits were made, as its members are the ultimate arbiters of the company's ethics and integrity. Perhaps Enron's board now wants to correct its deficiencies. This would be our report to them:

Dear Enron Board of Directors,

While you have finally decided to pay attention to your role in upholding the ethical standards of Enron, you probably realize that board attention to ethics must happen before bad things happen, not after. But it's never too late to learn.

Ethics and integrity start at the top. That means you. We urge the board to establish its own ethical code of conduct, although this might mean eliminating a third of your members. Consulting contracts, charitable contributions, service on boards that do business with Enron, and any position that would raise the appearance of a conflict of interest would be prohibited. Such a code should include provisions about when, if ever, an active board member could sell stock.

Enron already has a code of ethics and stated core values. But words alone are meaningless unless they are accompanied by real commitment and oversight. The mere existence of board audit and corporate governance committees doesn't ensure a company's commitment to ethics.

If you were serious about ethics, you would not have considered "waiving" your code of ethics to permit a blatant conflict of interest with the outside partnerships that you approved - partnerships that did millions of dollars worth of transactions with Enron, yet were run and partially owned by Enron executives. Ethics and values need to be thought of like the Constitution: inviolable. Values - not people - must govern how the company is run, day in and day out.

Had the board shown ethical leadership, you would not have allowed executives to hide critical financial information from regulators, analysts, and shareholders, since your own stated company values include "communication" and "integrity." Your chairman would not have been allowed to blithely assure employees that the company was in solid financial shape and urge them to keep buying stock when others knew and acted differently.

You would have noticed that your chairman's Nov. 13 letter to vendors and contractors touted Enron's "highest ethical standards" at a time when Enron's ethical failures were well known by the general public. An ethics infrastructure would have already been established that would have allowed Sherron Watkins, the letter-writing whistleblower, to come directly to the board instead of the chairman, and the board would not have given her letter for investigation to the same law firm that worked for Enron and helped structure the partnerships.

Finally, legal compliance programs or social-responsibility initiatives should not be confused with business ethics. We know that Arthur Andersen reviewed Enron's internal controls and compliance programs and assured you that they were fine. But compliance programs alone do not help employees resolve situations that can't be found in the rulebook.

The fact that a proposed action is legal does not mean it is right. Social responsibility focuses on doing good in the external world. While environmentalism, philanthropy, and volunteerism are important, they are not to be confused with business ethics, which prevents harm and avoids risk within the corporation. Business-ethics initiatives include ethics training, company-wide ethics committees, and resources for assistance and registering concerns. In other words, structures and strategies are needed to develop an internal ethical culture that will guide ethical business activities.

We suggest you start by reviewing what the best American companies have already established and appointing a senior ethics officer who will report to the chairman and the audit committee of the board of directors. We look forward to welcoming your new appointment in the national Ethics Officer Association so that Enron will benefit by the research, materials, and experiences of other companies who are already leaders in business ethics.

We hope this has been helpful.

_____________________________________________
W. Michael Hoffman is the executive director and Dawn-Marie Driscoll is an executive fellow at the Center for Business Ethics, Bentley College.

csmonitor.com



To: Jim Willie CB who wrote (46964)1/24/2002 4:04:33 PM
From: stockman_scott  Respond to of 65232
 
Musharraf Backs Pakistan Elections

Thursday January 24

By MUNIR AHMAD, Associated Press Writer

ISLAMABAD, Pakistan (AP) - Signaling the end of three years of military rule in Pakistan, President Pervez Musharraf announced Thursday that legislative elections would be held in October.

Elections for national and provincial legislatures means that laws will be enacted in Pakistan by elected representatives rather than by military decree. Musharraf said the vote would be free, fair and impartial.

The announcement, which Musharraf made at a conference on human development in Islamabad, complies with a Supreme Court ruling. The court had ordered Musharraf, who took power in an October 1999 military coup, to bring back civilian rule by three years from the date of the coup.

Musharraf will remain president and also commander of the Pakistani military, the dominant institution in the country. That does not violate the court order since in Pakistan the president is the head of state while the prime minister runs the government.

Musharraf has said he plans to remain in office for five years after the new Parliament takes office.

The balloting will be held under a new electoral code announced last week under which all of Pakistan's 145 million people, including non-Muslims, will be allowed to vote for the same candidates.

Musharraf has also announced plans to increase the number of seats in the national and provincial Parliaments to stimulate democracy in a country with a long history of authoritarian rule.

The new election code also requires members of the National Assembly to hold university degrees. That would eliminate a significant percentage of the members from the Parliament that was abolished in the military coup that ousted Prime Minister Nawaz Sharif.

In his remarks to the conference, distributed by the government news agency, Musharraf said ``checks and balances'' would be implemented to prevent abuse of power.

The announcement of new elections was part of a series of dramatic moves undertaken by Musharraf since he abandoned his Taliban allies in Afghanistan (news - web sites) after the Sept. 11 terrorist attacks in the United States and supported the U.S.-led coalition in its war against terrorism.

That decision brought sharp criticism from the country's vocal Islamic religious parties, which failed to muster enough public support to force a change in policy.

This month, Musharraf banned five Islamic extremist groups, including two that were accused by India of carrying out the Dec. 13 attack on the Indian Parliament in New Delhi.

More than 2,000 people were arrested in a nationwide crackdown, according to the Interior Ministry.



To: Jim Willie CB who wrote (46964)1/24/2002 4:06:06 PM
From: stockman_scott  Respond to of 65232
 
Interesting primer in today's Wall Street Journal about how to spot companies with potential accounting irregularities:

Message 16955747



To: Jim Willie CB who wrote (46964)1/24/2002 4:20:26 PM
From: stockman_scott  Respond to of 65232
 
Greenspan: U.S. Economy Turning the Corner

Thursday January 24, 2:20 pm Eastern Time

By Joanne Morrison

WASHINGTON (Reuters) - Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan on Thursday said the U.S. economy is emerging from recession and questioned the need for a fiscal stimulus package.

``We are just at this particular point turning, as best I can tell it,'' the powerful central banker told lawmakers on the Senate Budget Committee, who are weighing plans to cut taxes and boost government spending to bolster the economy.

Greenspan's comments reinforced expectations the Fed will leave interest rates alone when it meets next week and also clarified confusion the Fed chief left in the wake of a Jan. 11 speech, when he seemed to suggest it was too soon to say a recovery was at hand.

Stocks rose on Greenspan's remarks because his tone was noticeably more upbeat than his Jan. 11 address in San Francisco -- an economic assessment he admitted on Thursday could have been worded better.

In his testimony on Thursday, the Fed Chairman said the U.S. economy underwent a ``significant cyclical adjustment'' last year, worsened by the Sept. 11 attacks. ``But there have been signs recently that some of the forces that have been restraining the economy over the past year are starting to diminish and that activity is beginning to firm,'' he said.

However, he warned that although he expected consumer spending -- a key underpinning of the world's richest economy -- to pick up, its growth may be limited.

``There are a number of pluses and minuses in the outlook for household spending,'' Greenspan said, noting that the unemployment rate may continue to rise and that this may put a damper on how much consumers spend.

Business income and spending may get a boost with the inventory sell-off nearly at an end, Greenspan said, but that effect could be short-lived without sustained demand growth.

A cut-back in corporate spending was a key culprit behind the slowdown that began late in 2000.

Greenspan added another cautionary note during questioning, saying that there was the ``potential that the economy may be more tepid than we would like later in this year.'' If that were the case, a stimulus program would be useful, he said.

ECONOMIC STIMULUS NEEDED?

Greenspan offered few specifics in his testimony on the hot topic of fiscal stimulus except to say that the current budget picture was not dire, despite a massive reduction in the 10-year surplus forecast.

But with the economy recovering, he questioned whether lawmakers need to proceed now on tax cuts and government spending measures being mulled as part of a fiscal stimulus package. The White House, stymied by partisan bickering in its efforts to push a package through Congress, said later that it could change its view on the need for stimulus.

``Whether we do it or we don't, there are pluses and minuses. I do not think it is a critically important issue -- I think the economy will recover in any event,'' Greenspan told the budget panel.

At the same time, he urged lawmakers to be mindful of pressures that will face the budget in the future, when the huge Baby Boom generation enters retirement years around 2010.

Greenspan's comments come as the Senate prepares to debate a $69 billion stimulus package. The Democrat-backed package includes tax cuts for new business investment, rebates for low-income workers, extended unemployment benefits and more federal aid to cash-strapped states.

That plan is considerably smaller than the $200 billion multiyear plan backed by President Bush and congressional Republicans.

Greenspan's cautiously upbeat message on Thursday was coupled with a forecast from a White House economic aide that the economy would show modest growth in the first quarter of 2002 followed by more robust gains in the second half.

``First quarter GDP (Gross Domestic Product) growth would be quite modest, second-quarter GDP growth a little bit more robust, and then very robust in (the) third and fourth quarters,'' Glenn Hubbard, Chairman of the White House's Council of Economic Advisers, said after a closed-door meeting with lawmakers on Capitol Hill.

Greenspan himself said he thought U.S. economic growth was near zero right now. In the third quarter, the latest for which the data are available, the economy contracted 1.3 percent.

White House spokesman Ari Fleischer agreed there were signs of recovery, but tempered that optimism a bit.

``There are increasing signs of strength and recovery in the economy, but there are clouds as well,'' Fleischer said, leaving open the need for the Bush team's fiscal stimulus plan.

ECONOMIC DATA ABOVE EXPECTATIONS

Over the past two weeks, a spate of economic data from retail sales to jobless claims to manufacturing activity have beaten analyst expectations. Those reports, along with a push for reinterpretation of the Jan. 11 speech from Fed officials, have most analysts forecasting that the Fed will stand pat on interest rates when they meet next week.

In the speech earlier this month in San Francisco, the tone of Greenspan's remarks led markets to expect a quarter-point interest rate cut at the Jan. 29-30 meeting.

Responding to questions about that earlier speech, Greenspan admitted that he should have used better phrasing.

``It turned out that we showed a far greater degree of resiliency and flexibility and the economy stabilized (after Sept. 11),'' he said. ``I was trying to make that point without getting to an issue of whether we were going to snap back quickly or not so quickly.''

He added: ``That created, unfortunately, phraseology which in retrospect I should have done differently which implied that I didn't think the economy was in the process of turning, and I tried to rectify that in today's remarks.''

Analysts said he succeeded.

``Greenspan was more upbeat this time than he was last time. Obviously he can't say that everything is wonderful, but his view is evolving based on the flow of data since he spoke last,'' said Harvey Katz, chief economist with Value Line Inc. in New York.



To: Jim Willie CB who wrote (46964)1/24/2002 5:04:05 PM
From: stockman_scott  Respond to of 65232
 
Enron-type accounting problems widespread, ex-SEC chief says

msnbc.com



To: Jim Willie CB who wrote (46964)1/24/2002 6:33:55 PM
From: stockman_scott  Respond to of 65232
 
Wired Magazine wants to speak with online investors about Enron...fyi...

Message 16956983



To: Jim Willie CB who wrote (46964)1/24/2002 10:34:48 PM
From: stockman_scott  Respond to of 65232
 
Ken Lay would have to be pretty ballsy to try and collect on his employment agreement:

Lay could pocket almost $17 million

Enron chair, CEO resigned for company's survival

By Lisa Sanders & Allen Wan, CBS.MarketWatch.com
Last Update: 4:31 PM ET Jan. 24, 2002

HOUSTON (CBS.MW) -- Embattled Enron CEO Ken Lay could walk away with almost $17 million under the terms of his employment contract, though the company declined to comment Thursday about his severance package or whether he would accept it.

Lay resigned under fire late Wednesday, saying the company needs a fresh leader while he faces widening criminal and political investigations into the largest bankruptcy in U.S. history.

Though Lay's personal legal fees promise to claim a big chunk of any severance he gets, he still stands to gain a bundle with his departure, according to the latest company filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission.

According to an SEC proxy statement filed on March 27, 2001, Lay's contract calls for him to receive a "lump sum payment for each full calendar year of the remaining term of the agreement equal to base salary, performance bonus, and long-term grant value received in calendar year 2000, offset against amounts payable under the severance plan maintained by Enron."

Lay's employment agreement, which commenced in December 1996 and runs through Dec. 31, 2003, provides for a minimum salary of $1.3 million a year.

According to the proxy statement, Lay in 2000 was paid a $1.3 million salary and a bonus of $7 million. Taking both figures into account and doubling them translates into $16.6 million, not counting the long-term grant value.

Enron spokesman Vance Meyer declined to comment on any specific numbers on Thursday afternoon, except to say that the company is still determining Lay's severance package.

Also in 2000, Enron paid Lay restricted stock awards worth $7.5 million; other annual compensation, including personal benefits, worth $381,000; a $1.2 million cash payment under the Enron performance plan; and $782,830 in stock options.

He also exercised stock options to the tune of $123.4 million in 2000. Exercisable options, which he chose not to enact, amounted to $257.5 million, while unexercisable options totaled $104.1 million. Enron also paid a $4 million, interest-bearing line of credit in full in 2000, which yielded $110,174 in interest.

The proxy statement notes that if his severance package "is held to constitute an 'excess parachute payment,' and Mr. Lay becomes liable for any tax penalties ... Enron will make a cash payment to him in an amount equal to the tax penalties plus an amount equal to any additional tax for which he will be liable as a result of the receipt of the payment."

The contract contains "noncompete" provisions.

Asked whether pressure had been put on Lay to resign following the company's slide into bankruptcy and its ensuing legal problems, Meyer said Wednesday it was a "cooperative decision made by Lay, the board of Enron and the creditors committee."

"With the multiple investigations, the company needs someone to focus on running the company," he said.

With almost a dozen congressional and regulatory investigations under way, the company, creditors and Lay himself reached the conclusion that new leadership would be needed to help Enron emerge from bankruptcy, a spokesman said.

Lay, who resigned as chairman but will remain on the company's board, will assist the board and Enron's creditors committee in selecting a "restructuring specialist" to help turn around the company and serve as chief executive on an interim basis.

Enron's board plans to name a new chairman as soon as possible. Until then, the chief financial and operating officers will handle the chairmanship duties.

Shares of Enron (ENRNQ: news, chart, profile), which once rose as high as $90 while trading on the New York Stock Exchange, added 11 cents to 45 cents in over-the-counter trading Thursday.

Meanwhile, David Duncan, the former Andersen lead auditor on the Enron account, refused to testify at congressional hearings Thursday. See full story.

The metamorphosis

Lay had been with the company since 1985 and presided over the transformation of a small-town gas pipeline company into the nation's biggest energy trader.

"This was a decision the board and I reached in cooperation with our creditors committee," Lay said in a statement.

"I want to see Enron survive, and for that to happen we need someone at the helm who can focus 100 percent of his efforts on reorganizing the company and preserving value for our creditors and hard-working employees.

"Unfortunately," Lay continued, "with the multiple inquiries and investigations that currently require much of my time, it is becoming increasingly difficult to concentrate fully on what is most important to Enron's stakeholders."

Besides criminal and civil investigations by the Securities and Exchange Commission and the Justice Department, there are at least 10 congressional investigations under way to determine how Enron self-destructed in a matter of months, battering investors and employees.

Billions of dollars in employee retirement savings and shareholder equity were obliterated overnight as investors got wind of potential malfeasance at the company -- once the country's seventh largest in terms of market capitalization.

Energy mogul's fall from grace

For Lay, the resignation puts an end to a lifetime of work that, until six months ago, had the Texas business leader and political rainmaker perched near the top of the corporate world as arguably the most powerful energy mogul in history and a key adviser to the president of the United States. See David Callaway's commentary

It was little more than a year ago that the 59-year-old Lay was being touted as incoming President Bush's top choice to be treasury secretary or energy secretary.

He ranked No. 36 on a list of the 50 best CEOs published in 2000 by Worth magazine, after delivering a 240 percent return on shareholder value in Enron stock over the previous three years. Enron's market value rose from $2 billion in 1985, when Lay created the company through a merger of two Texas natural-gas firms, to more than $80 billion in early 2001.

But all of that power and prestige came crashing down beginning with a $618 million reported loss in the third quarter and culminating when Dynegy (DYN: news, chart, profile) opted not to step in and absorb its rival down the street.

Lay and Enron now face a slew of lawsuits as well as a federal investigation into how they built a tangled Web of derivative trades and energy businesses into the empire that Enron was, in the process creating numerous off-the-books partnerships. Auditor Andersen has seen its prestige take a major hit as details have come to light.
_____________________________________________
Lisa Sanders is a Dallas-based reporter for CBS.MarketWatch.com. Allen Wan is a news editor for CBS.MarketWatch.com in New York. Leticia Williams contributed from Washington.



To: Jim Willie CB who wrote (46964)1/24/2002 10:50:34 PM
From: stockman_scott  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 65232
 
Venture Funds May Follow Surge in Internet Security

By JOHNATHAN BURNS
January 23, 2002
Dow Jones Newswires

NEW YORK -- With the federal government increasingly treating Internet security as a matter of national importance, venture capitalists expect the still-blossoming market to attract some of the money that's been sitting on the sidelines.

In fact, a recent Deloitte & Touche Silicon Valley VC Confidence survey revealed that VCs expect the sector to be one of the few to be particularly attractive in the next few months, along with investments in biotechnology. Add to that a government campaign to drum up investment in the segment, and you've got the kind of momentum that's been lacking since the infamous "Y2K" spending frenzy.

"The spending on Internet security was coming, but clearly the Bush administration has accelerated the whole concept surrounding security," said Jack Sweeney, general partner at Prism Venture Partners of Westwood, Mass. "Governments are now saying we have to get a handle on this marketplace and make sure that data is safe."

The U.S. government has enacted a number of laws to protect information distributed over the Internet. Back in 1986, a law passed that made intercepting electronically transmitted information illegal.

Since then, the federal government has taken a number of steps encouraging certain types of businesses to more closely safeguard confidential information that can be accessed via computers. One such measure, the Health Insurance Portability and Accountability Act, will require health-care organizations to spend as much as $3.5 billion on security measures over the next five years to protect patient information, Mr. Sweeney said.

Other government mandates to ensure protection for sensitive financial information will see the financial and banking industry spend an estimated $2.4 billion by 2005.

Clearly, the events of Sept. 11 have also encouraged additional investment in Internet security.

Richard Clarke, special adviser to President Bush on cyberspace security and chair of the President's Critical Infrastructure Protection Board, has embarked on a mission to encourage technology executives to improve Internet security through a number of actions, including bundled security software for high-speed Internet users and new ways of acquiring software updates via personal computers. The federal government now spends about $800 million a year on Internet security research, a figure Mr. Clarke recently said needs to be increased. He added that American companies, on average, spend only 0.0025% of their revenue on IT security, or slightly less than what they pay to keep their employees in coffee.

Michael Rolnick, partner at Palo Alto, Calif., private equity firm ComVentures, said government involvement in investing in the sector should be seen as a lagging indicator.

"If you talk to chief information officers, they spent a lot of money on Y2K in 1998 and 1999," he said. "Then business-to-business commerce got in the way of IT spending. What happened is we've blown through that spending, and we're now back to security. If you think Y2K was a big thing, there will be a lot more people spending money on the security market, and it's a sustainable market."

Security is a broad market, encapsulating everything from firewalls to prevent hackers from entering a corporate Web site or personal computer to protecting credit-card transactions as they cross the Internet.

Spending on all the associated segments of the security market is expected to climb throughout the foreseeable future as access to the Internet -- including those who use it as a tool for mischief -- expands. Some studies have projected spending on IT security in its various incarnations will reach $25 billion in 2005.

"When the Internet was built, no one was thinking about making it secure, because security was inherent -- it was not open" to the public, Prism's Mr. Sweeney said.

A December initial public offering by NetScreen Technologies Inc. shows that the public market is aware of the Internet security space's promise. The Sunnyvale, Calif., developer of network security systems saw its shares rise 48% in initial trading, the third-highest first-day gain in 2001.

But not all segments of the industry are alike. ComVentures' Mr. Rolnick believes the desktop security space, in which companies develop software for virus detection and similar problems, is relatively mature with large publicly traded leaders. The same can't be said for the sliver of the market Mr. Rolnick describes as the intrusion-detection and vulnerability assessment segment. "I think this is a huge market for investment," he said. "It's sort of the big enchilada. Firewall protection would be like the lock on your door. Intrusion detection would be security in your home, like a burglar alarm that monitors every door and window."

One of ComVentures' investments in the sector is Intruvert Networks, based in San Jose, Calif.

Prism led a $22 million round in November with a $7 million investment in secure content networking platform provider Ingrian Networks, based in Redwood City, Calif. And the firm, which has more than $1 billion under management, is close to announcing a funding commitment involving a company that provides authentication, administration and authorization services to keep credit card transactions and the similar actions private.

Both firms say the continue to look for investment opportunities in the space.

"It's going to be one of these industries that just goes on forever," said Mr. Rolnick. "It can only get bigger and bigger."
________________________
Write to Johnathan Burns at johnathan.burns@dowjones.com



To: Jim Willie CB who wrote (46964)1/25/2002 5:01:20 AM
From: stockman_scott  Respond to of 65232
 
Derivatives Nightmare

The irony of derivatives is that when markets are booming, they can generate huge returns. This is why corporate managers love them. But equally large are the potential losses that can be incurred - losses that could explode like hundreds of ticking time bombs.

dailyreckoning.com

Martin Weiss, PhD

PALM BEACH GARDENS, Fla - As many nasty surprises lurk off the balance sheets of US companies as on the balance sheets. I'm talking about derivatives - typically high-leveraged transactions buried in the footnotes to financial statements.

It was mostly derivatives that took Enron down, transforming it from the country's seventh largest company into a bankrupt turkey. And it's these same transactions that now threaten to rip apart critical segments of our financial system.

Derivatives can be used to place side bets on virtually anything - interest rates, stocks, stock indexes, oil and gas, foreign currencies, and more. Or they are the pieces of traditional investments - such as mortgages - that have been split apart.

The irony of derivatives is that when markets are booming, they can generate huge returns. This is why corporate managers love them. But equally large are the potential losses that can be incurred - losses that could explode like hundreds of ticking time bombs.

Right now, the best estimate is that $24 trillion in derivatives lurk off the balance sheets of thousands of US companies. But the fact is, no one knows the exact figure - let alone how much money is actually at risk.

Derivatives trades are often not regulated. So it's almost impossible to know what's going on. That's truly unfortunate. Because derivatives trading affects everyone - whether you're directly involved or not. Examples:

* When Enron went bust, an estimated 45 companies felt the effects, absorbing tremendous losses. J.P. Morgan Chase lost $1 billion from Enron. Bank of America and Citigroup - $500 million each. Hartford Insurance Group - $92 million. Principal Financial Group - $171 million. Dallas-based electricity and natural gas producer TXU - $20 million. The list grows daily.

* Separately, GM was carrying a net open loss of $392 million on derivatives in the third quarter, according to a recent financial release from the company. This is the last thing GM needs as it slashes prices and auto loan rates to lure in reluctant shoppers.

* Upscale hotel operator Wyndham International lost over $37 million on derivatives in the third quarter, compounding its $82 million loss for the period.

How The Derivatives Time Bomb Can Explode

According to the US General Accounting Office (GAO), there are three major risks that can sour derivatives trades; and all three could surface in the months ahead.

Suppose you bet with your neighbor that Microsoft shares are going up. You each put up $10,000.

Three things can go wrong: First, Microsoft shares could go down, and you'd lose. Second, your neighbor could go broke and never make good on the bet. And third, the stock market mechanism itself could be impaired, making it impossible to trade Microsoft shares. Major derivatives players face the same kinds of risks:

1. Market Risk

If the market goes the wrong way, the investor loses. Period. And in highly leveraged derivatives, the risks are multiplied. What appears to be a promising, paper profit can suddenly turn into a giant loss, almost overnight.

In 1994, a large Canadian insurer, Confederation Life, was playing with high-risk derivatives, supposedly as a routine hedge for its investments. But when the market moved against its trades, the losses drove the company out of business in a matter of weeks.

In that same year, Orange County, California, was forced to file for bankruptcy after losing $2 billion in a derivatives strategy.

In 1998, a private hedge fund, Long-Term Capital Management, was betting on the debt of emerging nations. When Russia defaulted, gargantuan losses drove the company into a fatal tailspin, disrupting every major financial market in the world.

Today, the risk of sudden and unexpected market turns is probably the greatest ever. Stocks are experiencing some of their wildest swings since the 1930s. Foreign currencies are going haywire.

Long-term interest rates are also swinging wildly. Witness, for example, the recent 11-point plunge in long-term US Treasury bonds, the worst since 1996.

All of this adds up to a rash of possible derivatives losses in 2002.

2. Credit risk

When you buy or sell on a regulated exchange, the exchange takes care of the due diligence to ensure that the buyers and sellers are creditworthy. Not so in the derivatives markets where trillions are traded on largely unregulated, over-the-counter markets!

In these transactions, the contracting parties are largely responsible for the risks - directly and privately. They do what they can to check the credit of their trading partners, but it is never enough.

If the other side defaults on a trade, all heck breaks loose, leading to a possible chain reaction of losses, defaults, and bankruptcies. Enron alone affected dozens of companies that were on the other side of its derivatives investments, and the estimated losses may stretch into the billions of dollars.

Look. Right now, we are already experiencing the worst debt debacles since the 1990s recession. The credit ratings of a whopping 616 companies were downgraded last year. It's a downright dangerous time to take on big market risk.

And yet, that's exactly what large corporations and banks are doing. Many see speculation in derivatives as the only way to compensate for big losses in operations. So instead of cutting back on the risk-taking of their traders, they actually encourage more.

3. System Risk

In a worldwide crisis, when prices begin to fluctuate wildly, the risk can be so great that even the strong, well-capitalized players withdraw from the derivatives market. And when that happens, they can virtually shut down the system.

The key is the large banks and brokers that literally make the market for derivatives. Without them, there is no market. It just goes dead, potentially trapping the other players into unwanted positions for which they can find no takers.

This Disaster Has Happened - Or Came Close To Happening - Several Times Before

In 1980, long-term US Government bond prices were falling so dramatically, most major government securities dealers withdrew from the market. Suddenly, it became next to impossible for the US Treasury to raise the money it needed to finance the government.

During the European currency crisis of 1985, the Crash of 1987, the Asian crisis of 1997, and the Russian debt default of 1998, we saw a similar phenomenon.

These events involved more than just a collapse in prices. The actual market structure itself was on the verge of collapsing.

The players feared losses on a rash of "busted transactions." So they recoiled in horror and moved to the sidelines. This can happen again, very soon.

If, for example, the derivatives market for Latin American currencies shuts down, major exporters would not be able to hedge their business against devaluation, such as in Argentina's peso. They'd have to refrain from all new business, dooming much of Latin America to a fate equal, or worse, than Argentina's.

If the derivatives market for US money markets is paralyzed, it would be far worse.

Banks, insurance companies, mortgage lenders, and financial institutions of all kinds would be hard-pressed to hedge against the next swing in interest rates. New lending would come to a standstill. Credit-starved companies would go bankrupt like a row of dominoes.
____________________________________________________
The Nation's Leading Advocate For Financial Safety

Martin D. Weiss, PhD, is the nation's leading advocate for financial safety. He has helped millions of Americans with his ratings of stocks, mutual funds, insurance companies, banks, brokerage firms and HMOs. And he has testified before Congress repeatedly, advocating full disclosure of risk to investors.

That's why Forbes has called Martin Weiss "Mr. Independence," the Wall Street Journal says he runs a "feisty firm," and the Esquire noted that his is "the only company ... that provides financial grades free of any possible conflict of interest."



To: Jim Willie CB who wrote (46964)1/25/2002 5:17:54 AM
From: stockman_scott  Respond to of 65232
 
Ex-Workers Say Unit's Earnings Were 'Illusory'

By ALEX BERENSON
The New York Times
January 25, 2002

A major division of the Enron Corporation (news/quote) overstated its profits by hundreds of millions of dollars over the last three years, and senior Enron executives were warned almost a year ago that the division's profits were illusory, according to several former employees.

The division, Enron Energy Services, competed with utilities to sell electricity and natural gas to commercial and industrial customers. It was run by Lou L. Pai, who sold $353 million in Enron stock over the last three years, more than any other Enron executive, and Thomas E. White, who left Enron to become secretary of the Army last June.

Energy Services accounted for a small part of Enron's revenue but was promoted by the company as a big growth opportunity. Unlike the complex partnerships and other entities that Enron used to move debt and losses on outside investments off its books, this unit was a real business with more than 1,000 employees and customers like J. C. Penney.

But former employees, including three who were willing to be identified, suggest that Energy Services used shoddy accounting practices to create "illusory earnings," in the words of Jeff Gray, who joined Enron in 2000 and worked at the division for most of 2001.

For example, by estimating that the price of electricity would fall in the future, Enron could book an immediate profit on a contract.

The employees' allegations raise fresh questions about Mr. White's role at Enron, where he was an executive for 11 years. In a disclosure last May, just before he became Army secretary, Mr. White reported that he owned more than $25 million of Enron stock and would be paid $1 million in severance from Enron.

Because he went from the Army to Enron and back to the Army, Public Citizen and others have voiced concerns about potential conflicts. While he was at Energy Services, it sold a $25 million contract to the Army. As secretary, he said that he would move energy services at bases to private companies, like Enron.

A spokesman for Mr. White did not return repeated calls for comment. Mr. Pai, the former chairman, and a spokesman for Enron also did not return calls. Peggy Mahoney, a spokeswoman for Energy Services, said the division's financial results had accurately reflected its business. "It was no pie in the sky," she said.

Enron created Energy Services in 1997 to take advantage of the deregulation of electricity markets nationally. It promised to cut its clients' energy costs by installing energy- saving equipment and finding cheaper natural gas and electricity.

Energy Services operated as essentially a freestanding company, but its results were included in Enron's financial statements, which were audited by Arthur Andersen. Energy Services organized itself so that it could use a financial reporting technique called mark-to-market accounting, which Mr. Gray and other former employees said the division had abused to inflate its profits.

Under traditional accounting, companies book profits only as they deliver the services they have promised to customers. But Energy Services calculated its profit very differently. As soon as it signed a contract, it estimated what its profits would be over the entire term, based on assumptions about future energy prices, energy use and even the speed at which different states would deregulate their electric markets.

Then Energy Services would immediately pay its sales representatives cash bonuses on those projections and report the results to investors as profits. By making its assumptions more optimistic, the division could report higher profits.

As a result, the sales representatives and senior managers pressed the managers who made the central assumptions about deregulation and energy prices, said Glenn Dickson, a manager at Energy Services who was fired in December.

"The whole culture was much more sales driven than anything else," Mr. Dickson said. "The people that were having to sign off on the deals with a gun to their head knew that it wasn't a good deal."

Mr. Dickson and other former employees said senior executives at Energy Services knew that their assumptions were unreliable. At the same time, expenses ballooned as Energy Services found that the costs of managing its contracts were higher than it had projected.

"They knew how to get a product out there, but they didn't know how to run a business," said Tony Dorazio, a former product development manager at Energy Services.

In 1999 and 2000, under the leadership of Mr. Pai and Mr. White, Energy Services would sign almost any deal, a former employee said. But by the end of 2000, the executives were no longer paying much attention to daily operations, Mr. Dickson said.

None of the former employees said they knew whether Mr. Pai or Mr. White were aware of any accounting lapses at Energy Services. With Energy Services hemorrhaging cash in 2000, even as it began to report profits to investors, the unit began reviewing some of the contacts to determine whether it had overstated its profits. But publicly, Enron continued to promote Energy Services' prospects. A year ago, Jeffrey K. Skilling, Enron's president at the time, told Wall Street that the division was worth about $20 billion.

"They said at one point they expected it to be as large as wholesale," said Jeff Dietert, an analyst at Simmons & Company in Houston. Enron's wholesale trading division, which bought and sold electricity and natural gas worldwide, was the source of most of its profits.

The division generated $165 million in operating profit on $4.6 billion in sales in 2000, in contrast to a loss of $68 million on sales of $1.8 billion in 1999, according to Enron's 2000 annual report.

Even as Enron promoted the division's potential, it accelerated its review of the contracts and brought in new management. By February 2001, Enron had transferred Mr. Pai out of the division and named David Delaney, who came from the wholesale business, as its top executive. A former brigadier general, Mr. White remained until he became secretary of the Army.

A former employee said that in February or March 2001, senior managers within Energy Services spoke to Richard A. Causey, Enron's chief accounting officer, to discuss potential losses associated with a handful of large contracts. The potential losses on those deals topped $200 million, the employee said.

About the same time, Mr. Delaney discussed the potential losses with Mr. Skilling and other top corporate executives, this employee said.

Sales slowed last year as Mr. Delaney forced the division to use more conservative and accurate projections when deciding on a contract, Mr. Dickson said. The move frustrated some sales representatives, but stemmed losses, he said.

Although Energy Services publicly reported profits until Enron collapsed, it continued to lose money last year because of the unprofitable contracts, employees said.

Margaret Ceconi, a former sales manager, sent a letter in August to Kenneth L. Lay, then Enron's chairman, saying that Enron had hidden losses on its contracts by putting them in the wholesale division.

"It will add up to over $500 million that E.E.S. is losing and trying to hide in wholesale," Ms. Ceconi wrote in her letter, which was previously reported in The Houston Chronicle.

Today, Energy Services is essentially a shell. After filing for bankruptcy Dec. 2, Enron walked away from many contracts, an action allowed under bankruptcy rules.

Energy Services' decision to exit so many contracts, including its largest, a $2.2 billion contract signed only last year with Owens-Illinois, the giant glass and plastic maker, is proof of the problems at the division, former employees said.

"They kept telling me, and I heard it many a time, that it was a sound business plan," Mr. Dorazio said. "After being in this business for 21 years, it didn't seem sound to me."



To: Jim Willie CB who wrote (46964)1/25/2002 6:44:51 AM
From: stockman_scott  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 65232
 
Ready for take-off?

Jan 24th 2002
From The Economist print edition
World economy

'America's heavy debt burden will hinder a full economic recovery'

THE latest data suggest that America's recession may be almost over. Consumer confidence has rebounded and the Conference Board's index of leading indicators rose strongly in December for the second month in a row. Wall Street economists are eagerly revising up their growth forecasts. Yet the excesses of the 1990s boom, notably the surge in household and corporate debts, still loom dangerously large. Like a bird that has stuffed itself with too many worms, America's debt-laden economy will find it hard to get fully airborne.

That would be a big setback for the world economy, which is still overly dependent upon America. Japan appears to be sinking deeper into deflation; its banks are teetering on the brink. Europe as a whole (though not Germany) has avoided recession, but it hardly looks like a powerful engine of global growth. In contrast, the cheery view of America's recovery is based on the perception that companies have been quick to prune excess inventories and cut surplus capacity, paving the way for a rebound. Consumer spending, meanwhile, has remained surprisingly buoyant.

The doom-mongers (including The Economist) who predicted a deeper downturn have, many argue, been proved wrong. Perhaps. But what the optimists have lost sight of is that America's recession was caused neither by the events of September 11th nor, like every previous post-war recession, by tightening by the Federal Reserve in response to rising inflation. The root cause of this recession was the bursting of one of the biggest financial bubbles in history. It is wishful thinking to believe that such a binge can be followed by one of the mildest recessions in history—and a resumption of rapid growth.

Fuelling the recovery
In the fourth quarter of 2001 American companies slashed their inventories by more than they had ever done before. A turnaround in inventories may therefore boost output in the first quarter of this year. But for a sustained recovery, consumer spending and business investment need to take over. Here lies the problem: consumers and companies are up to their neck in debt (see article). Even through the recession, debts have continued to grow in real terms, as people have borrowed more to sustain their spending. Not only will that limit the usual increase in borrowing that fuels an economic recovery; it also creates a risk that consumers may eventually be forced to trim their spending and save more. Companies have done more to repair their balance sheets—but not enough. Corporate debts are at record levels in relation to GDP, yet still companies continue to borrow.

America's bubble was more than just a surge in share prices. At its heart was a borrowing binge, based on the expectation that rapid growth in profits, share prices and wages would continue indefinitely. This money financed the boom in investment and consumer spending. The share-price bubble has since popped and the IT investment boom has turned to bust, yet the credit bubble remains fully inflated. Only when it deflates will the full results be felt.

The puzzle is that American consumers are in denial. Recession, what recession? In the fourth quarter of 2001 consumer spending grew at an estimated annual rate of more than 4%, partly thanks to discounting and zero-rate financing for car purchases. Many consumers seem to consider this recession as just a brief dip before a return to strong growth. But their spending habits are unsustainable. Consumer balance sheets look horribly stretched, and some recent spending, especially on cars, is literally borrowed from the future.

Eventually, borrowers and lenders will wake up to the reality that their expectations of future growth in profits and returns were too rosy, and consumers will have to reduce their spending to bring debt back to sustainable levels. In this way, America's excessive debt burden is likely to drag down the economy, either by restraining demand for several years, or even by triggering a double-dip recession. Five of the past six full-blown recessions have included a double dip: output rose briefly as inventories turned around, but then fell again as final demand failed to follow through.

Debt, deflation and danger
Households and companies always run up debts during booms. But this time they could take longer than usual to unwind. In previous periods of excessive borrowing, inflation has quickly eroded the real debt burden. However, America's consumer prices rose by only 1.6% in the 12 months to December and inflation may well fall further.

As inflation moves closer to zero it also becomes harder to deploy monetary policy. Real interest rates in America, deflated by inflationary expectations, are still firmly positive. For the first time since the 1930s, the world's problem is not too much inflation, but perhaps too little. Massive excess capacity, the absence of corporate pricing power and rising unemployment will push inflation lower almost everywhere this year. In America a record number of companies are announcing wage freezes or pay cuts.

The good news is that Alan Greenspan, the Fed's chairman, recognises the potential risks and has cut interest rates accordingly. Most economists reckon that he has now finished the job. Yet falling inflation implies that real interest rates will rise if nominal rates are left unchanged. This is why the Fed should, once again, cut rates at its meeting next week.

The Fed has, through swift interest-rate cuts, succeeded in saving the economy from deep recession—so far. Lower interest rates reduce debt service and so allow a more gradual adjustment, but they cannot stop the pressure to reduce excess debt. That could imply several years of sub-par growth. If America escapes with a period of modest growth rather than a deep recession, that should be seen as a success. That American companies are restructuring their balance sheets far faster than Japanese companies did in the 1990s also bodes well for the future. But for many American consumers, and for investors, who have been living thoughtlessly on the never-never, the next couple of years could deliver a rude shock.



To: Jim Willie CB who wrote (46964)1/25/2002 8:25:03 AM
From: stockman_scott  Respond to of 65232
 
Energy-Trading Venture Could Result In an Enormous Loss for J.P. Morgan

THE WALL STREET JOURNAL
Page One Feature
January 25, 2002
By JATHON SAPSFORD and ANITA RAGHAVAN

When J.P. Morgan & Co. set up an energy-trading business in the British Channel Islands a decade ago, the tiny venture barely caused a ripple at the giant bank.

The operation, called Mahonia Ltd., consisted of just a small office with lots of phone lines. But the Jersey-based business grew over the years to transact billions of dollars of natural-gas contracts with other energy companies. Mahonia's trading followed a simple pattern: Many of its transactions took place just before year-end. Often, the deliveries of natural gas and oil were sold right back to those who delivered them through complex derivative transactions. And about 60% of Mahonia's trades were with just one company: Enron Corp.

The point of the choreographed trading? People familiar with Mahonia say Enron used the transactions to manage tax liabilities by transferring losses in one financial reporting period to another. As Enron's troubles mounted, the Houston company eventually turned to Mahonia as a sort of surrogate bank, these people say, using it to raise at least $2 billion in financing over the years.

For J.P. Morgan, the arrangement was lucrative -- at least at first. The bank received as much as $100 million in revenues. It also thought it had insurance in place to cover any default by Enron.

But in the wake of Enron's collapse and bankruptcy-court filing, Mahonia could cost the nation's second-largest bank as much as $1 billion. Several insurers have alleged in a lawsuit in New York federal court that the trading transactions were shams, thereby negating the insurance contracts. The bank, now known as J.P. Morgan Chase & Co., disputes the court allegation. Credit-rating concern Standard & Poor's cited J.P. Morgan's overall exposure to Enron as one reason it is reviewing the bank's credit rating for a possible downgrade. J.P. Morgan, which acted as a lender, underwriter and merger adviser to Enron, says the energy concern owes it a total of $2.6 billion.

Just a Sliver

The Mahonia arrangement -- which J.P. Morgan hadn't disclosed to investors until last month's suit -- represents just a sliver of the many complicated ventures Enron participated in. But unlike the hundreds of partnerships Enron constructed on its own to keep debt off its books, this venture was conceived, launched and operated by J.P. Morgan. Though many Wall Street firms helped finance Enron -- acting as traditional lenders, underwriters and advisers -- the fact that J.P. Morgan set up the partnership suggests that Wall Street may have played a more active role in the Enron scandal.

J.P. Morgan won't comment on some key aspects of the dispute, citing pending litigation. A spokesman says that "many companies routinely raise funds using pre-paid commodity forward contracts. The benefits vary from client to client, including pricing advantages and diversity of credit sources."

Enron spokesman Mark Palmer says the trades were "perfectly legitimate and proper transactions" made as part of the normal course of trading commodities.

Who Owns It?

Many things about the operation remain mysterious. It is unclear, for instance, who owns Mahonia. According to records from the Jersey Financial Services Commission, the company was incorporated on Dec. 16, 1992. It has two nominee shareholders, Lively Ltd. and Juris Ltd., who represent undisclosed owners.

"The question is: Was Mahonia a conduit on behalf of Enron or a conduit on behalf of J.P. Morgan?" says Manfred Knoll, a managing director for Germany's Westdeutsche Landesbank, which issued a $165 million letter of credit to J.P. Morgan to guarantee against losses. He says Mahonia legally was a conduit of J.P. Morgan. But in practice, "it was a conduit that was set up to transact a variety of financial transactions for Enron."

On Tuesday, a New York bankruptcy-court judge ruled that Enron will have to make available documents relating to Mahonia to the German bank, people familiar with the matter say.

As part of its broad investigation into Enron, the Securities and Exchange Commission is reviewing J.P. Morgan's multifaceted relationship with Enron, people familiar with the matter say. Among other things, investigators are examining whether the bank, through vehicles such as Mahonia, helped Enron draw a misleading financial picture for investors.

People close to the matter say Enron told J.P. Morgan the trades were for tax purposes. Tax experts say it is common for companies to manage tax liabilities by, for instance, deferring certain losses from a bad year, when the tax bill might be low, to a future period when they can be used to offset high earnings. There's nothing inherently illegal about trying to minimize corporate tax bills. Enron hasn't paid corporate income tax in four of the past five years, a spokesman says.

The Mahonia maneuvers may draw additional scrutiny now, however, in light of admissions by Enron that it used a series of outside partnerships to hide losses.

Whatever the ultimate goal, the transactions worked like this: J.P. Morgan would pay Enron between $150 million and $250 million for the future delivery of natural gas or crude oil. This was constructed as a "trade," not a loan. So Enron would report this as earnings that would cancel out, temporarily, losses on Enron books.

But Enron had to eventually deliver the oil or gas, usually in regular installments with the value of $10 million to $20 million, the people familiar with Mahonia say. With each delivery, the losses began again to appear on Enron's ledger. These deliveries would begin the following year, so the losses were carried from one year to the next, without showing up clearly on Enron's books.

The result: Enron kept those losses in reserve in case Enron had any profit windfall on which it might pay tax, the people familiar with the matter say. If it did, it would use those losses to cancel out profits, and thus lower its tax burden. Or if Enron didn't have big profits to hide, it would just roll the losses over again to the next fiscal year -- by going back to J.P. Morgan and selling it another gas contract. Two tax experts contacted for this article described the technique as unusual but potentially very effective. "It certainly makes sense as a tax strategy," says Doug Carmichael, a professor of accounting at New York's Baruch College.

The whole process fed on itself. As one Wall Street banker put it, the arrangements "practically guaranteed" Enron would come back to J.P. Morgan for more.

What was in it for Morgan? The deals generated, over the decade, fees and interest measuring as much as $100 million. In paying for future delivery of gas to Mahonia, J.P. Morgan got the gas at a discount -- reflecting the interest rate Enron would have paid were it getting a straightforward loan. In the summer of 1999, this amounted to somewhere between 7% and 8%, or roughly $7 million to $8 million for every $100 million J.P. Morgan channeled to Enron under the Mahonia arrangement. (That revenue, of course, was offset in part by the bank's funding costs.) The bank often got a small fee for arranging the financing.

Source of Pride

The arrangements were for years a source of pride within the bank's small commodities division, which directed the trades. Dinsa Mehta, one of J.P. Morgan's senior commodity traders, praised the deals to colleagues, saying that while Enron put out its other commodity financing needs for all of Wall Street to bid on, Enron kept coming back to J.P. Morgan for trades that would carry its losses forward. Mr. Mehta, contacted through a spokeswoman, declined to comment.

In a basic way, the trading pact is a throwback. Prepaying for future delivery of a commodity is known as a "gold trade," because it is the way gold bullion has been trading for centuries. In recent years, trading companies, whether from Houston or Wall Street, have been making more use of this structure to buy and sell oil, natural gas and other commodities. Some commercial banks, including Chase Manhattan, a predecessor of J.P. Morgan, had to set up part of these trades overseas because their banking charters wouldn't allow them to take delivery of commodities.

J.P. Morgan also bought commodities contracts from a number of other energy companies. Yet by far Mahonia's biggest customer was Enron, accounting for roughly 60% of its business, people familiar with the matter say.

Over the years, the size of the transactions grew and the repayment periods stretched out further and further into the future.

Mahonia's business with Enron jumped sharply in 1999. Oil prices were weak, causing concerns over the future profitability of the energy industry. The stock and bond capital markets had become reluctant to finance energy companies, leaving J.P. Morgan's offshore arrangements one of the few places this industry could raise money.

In the summer of 1999, Enron officials contacted Morgan with requests to do bigger and bigger trades, including a large arrangement of $650 million in one trade. It was a far cry from earlier trades in the range of $150 million, and suggested to some people within the bank that Enron was no longer merely interested in tax avoidance, but was actively using the arrangement to meet its financing needs.

J.P. Morgan officials couldn't do the business without hedges. The firm would be on the hook for a large chunk of cash if Enron defaulted before it delivered the natural gas. These arrangements, after all, presented the same default risk as any loan to Enron. J.P. Morgan effectively had been paying a portion of its earnings to other banks in exchange for their guaranteeing portions of the arrangement. This move shifted some of the risk to other banks like ABN Amro Holding NV or West LB.

It wasn't enough. By this time, companies including Enron wanted to raise more through Mahonia than the banking syndicate was willing to handle amid the oil-price slump. So Enron, if it wanted more money, needed to find new players to share the risk of financing the gas payments.

Enron turned to 11 insurance companies -- including National Fire Insurance Co., Safeco Insurance Co., St. Paul Fire & Marine Insurance Co. and Citigroup Inc.'s Travelers unit -- to issue "surety bonds." These are financial guarantees insurance companies commonly issue to ensure a project is completed, whether it's a bridge or Hollywood movie. Enron arranged these contracts for J.P. Morgan -- and paid the insurance companies for it -- so that the bank would feel more comfortable making increasingly large trades with the energy company, according to a person familiar with the arrangement.

As Enron's trades grew bigger and bigger, the bank was also financing other energy companies, and the accounting on these trades became a source of concern within the bank. On Aug. 5, 1999, Vice Chairman Marc Shapiro and senior credit officer David Pflug convened a meeting in a glass room off the bank's commodity trading floor.

As part of that briefing, the group went through a lengthy history of the bank's trading with energy companies. The managers were told one reason companies like Enron were entering the complex trades was to carry forward losses and lower tax burdens, a person familiar with the briefing said. This person said Mr. Shapiro reviewed the trades and said they were fine. Mr. Shapiro declines to comment. Mr. Pflug, confirming the meeting, said it was called to discuss another client and commodity derivative contracts in general.

Two years later, the arrangement was still functioning as Enron's troubles deepened. Both Enron and J.P. Morgan kept looking for other institutions to share the risk as Enron kept running new trades through Mahonia.

That's when Enron and Morgan turned to the German bank for more comfort. On Sept. 10, 2001, Enron and Morgan arranged to obtain a $165 million letter of credit from West LB to guarantee derivatives trades between Mahonia and Enron North America, according to Mr. Knoll, the bank managing director.

In an unusual move underscoring Morgan's keen interest in the letter of credit, the legal documents were reviewed by Philip Levy, Morgan's associate general counsel. Mr. Levy didn't return a call seeking comment.

Deepening Woes

Enron's woes deepened further. After a planned merger with rival Dynegy Inc. fell through, Enron filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection on Dec. 2. After the filing, Morgan requested to be paid under the letter of credit, Mr. Knoll says. So far, West LB has refused to pay, depositing the $165 million in an escrow account which it says it will make available when the Mahonia transactions underlying the lending facility are proved proper.

It was only after the bankruptcy filing that investors first got a whiff of Mahonia. Morgan's insurers, due to make a payment on the surety bonds by a Dec. 21 deadline, refused to pay. Morgan sued in New York federal court. The insurers filed a counterclaim, alleging that Mahonia was a fabrication meant to disguise loans in the forms of commodity trades.

In court papers, the insurers say they were led to believe the arrangements were meant to "actually supply natural gas and crude oil by Enron to Mahonia." But the insurers refuse to pay the guarantees because the arrangements "were not intended to be fulfilled," the insurers' complaint alleges. It adds that Mahonia was a "mechanism to obtain surety bonds to secure loans to be made to Enron in the guise" of trades.

J.P. Morgan says the insurers' claims are without merit, noting that the surety contracts say the insurance liability is "absolute and unconditional."

The case is pending. But the spat already has dented Morgan's credibility. Morgan Chief Executive Officer William Harrison called his board shortly after the Enron bankruptcy filing and told them the bank had some $500 million in unsecured exposure and some other secured exposures, including loans of $400 million backed by pipeline assets.

But after the insurers refused to honor their commitments on the surety bonds, Mr. Harrison had to hit the phones again to directors, and raise the number to $2.6 billion -- with roughly $1 billion of the additional exposure directly related to Mahonia.

Morgan has been defending its position ever since. Last week, the bank reported a fourth-quarter loss of $332 million, partly because of its exposure to Enron.

Meanwhile, Mr. Shapiro, the vice chairman, asserts that Morgan has known all along the extent of its Enron vulnerability. "It's not an issue of what we knew," he said late last month "but what was appropriate to disclose."

-- Michael Schroeder contributed to this article.



To: Jim Willie CB who wrote (46964)1/25/2002 2:32:13 PM
From: stockman_scott  Respond to of 65232
 
Ex-Enron Executive Found Shot to Death Had Challenged Company Practices

By KRISTEN HAYS
Associated Press Writer
Friday January 25, 2:10 pm Eastern Time

HOUSTON (AP) -- A former Enron Corp. (NYSE:ENE - news) executive who reportedly challenged the company's questionable financial practices and resigned last May was found shot to death in a car Friday, an apparent suicide.


Police in Sugar Land, a Houston suburb, confirmed the death of 43-year-old J. Clifford Baxter, a former Enron vice chairman. He was shot in the head.

A suicide note was found, police said, but its contents were not disclosed.

``We are deeply saddened by the tragic loss of our friend and colleague, Cliff Baxter. Our thoughts and prayers go out to his family and friends,'' the company said in a statement. Spokesman Mark Palmer had no additional comment.

Baxter was vice chairman of Enron when he resigned in May 2001, several months before the energy company's collapse.

Baxter was identified by name in the explosive warning that Enron executive Sherron Watkins wrote last August to company chairman Ken Lay.

``Cliff Baxter complained mightily to (then-CEO Jeff) Skilling and all who would listen about the inappropriateness of our transactions with LJM,'' Watkins wrote. LJM is one of the partnerships that kept hundreds of millions of dollars in debt off Enron's books.

Watkins identified Baxter in a section of her letter stating there is ``a veil of secrecy around LJM and Raptor,'' another entity involved in the partnerships.

Watkins' letter to Lay stated that ``we will implode in a wave of accounting scandals'' unless the company changed its ways.

Enron's public downfall began in mid-October with the announcement of a $618 million third-quarter loss and a $1.2 billion reduction in the company's equity. Then the partnerships that kept debt off the books were revealed.

The company -- once No. 7 on the Fortune magazine list of the 500 largest companies -- rapidly descended into bankruptcy, the largest in history, on Dec. 2. Its chairman, Kenneth Lay, resigned this week. He has been one of President Bush's strongest supporters over the years.

Baxter's body was found around 2:30 a.m. Friday by a police officer checking on a Mercedes-Benz parked in a residential area not far from his home in Sugar Land. He was in the driver's seat. He had been shot with a revolver. Identification he was carrying indicated he worked for Enron.

Jim Richard, a Fort Bend County justice of the peace, ruled Baxter's death a suicide. He ordered an autopsy as a precaution.

Baxter's family could not be reached for comment. A woman answering the phone at the home hung up.

Baxter was one of 29 former and current Enron executives and board members named as defendants in a federal lawsuit. Plaintiffs' lawyers said the executives made $1.1 billion by selling Enron stock between October 1998 and November 2001.

It said Baxter had sold 577,436 shares for $35.2 million.

At the time his resignation was announced, Skilling said Baxter had made ``a tremendous contribution to Enron's evolution, particularly as a member of the team that built Enron's wholesale business.''

It said his primary reason for resigning was to spend more time with his family.

Skilling himself abruptly resigned in August, citing personal reasons.

Skillling was ``absolutely devastated at the loss of a very good friend,'' said Judy Leon, Skilling's spokeswoman. She declined to elaborate.

Baxter had joined Enron in 1991 and was chairman and CEO of Enron North America prior to being named chief strategy officer for Enron Corp. in June 2000 and vice chairman in October 2000, the company said.

He was born in 1958 in Amityville, N.Y., and graduated from New York University in 1980. He was a captain in the U.S. Air Force from 1980-85 and received an MBA from Columbia University in 1987, according to the company.