To: VAUGHN who wrote (106 ) 1/26/2002 1:41:42 AM From: bill Respond to of 613 I don't want to give anyone the idea that I'm a true believer in TA. I, too, am a skeptic. However, having tried the I'll buy on instinct, sell on instinct method, and not found it to work too well, I started to use TA. It works best with blue chips with lots of stock out, with a product that is being sold, etc. because just like an oil tanker, a big company gets moving in one direction it's likely to keep moving in that direction for some time. When it shifts direction, it is noticeable. Penny spec stocks do have trends but they can be disrupted by even the smallest events. Their price is often dependent on nothingmore than the next drill results. Or an announcement that there is going to be drilling. Or that there's been a PP and now there'smoney for drilling. That's why TA will work for a time and then go all to hell with a rumour or news. As an example of how TA has worked for me is the following: I got a recommendation to buy Transalta. I've been picking up dividend stocks and this one is paying a decent dividend. The pitch sounded good. However, I said, I think I'll check the chart. Take a look at it. Transalta is in a wicked downtrend. Right now the stock price is below the 20, 40 and 200 day moving average. All other indicators are negative. At some point I'll end up buying it because I think over the next few years it will do well but I won't buy until the TA indicators show that the trend has reversed. I'll look for reversal indicators such as a double or triple bottom. I won't get or even try for a buy at the abosolute bottom That's a sucker's game. But I'll try to get my buy after the trend has reversed. I also will study the companies fundamentals. Those will tell me why it is in such a downtrend and will give a sense of whether the reversal is justified.