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Strategies & Market Trends : A.I.M. PIC List (Perverse Investment Candidates) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: OldAIMGuy who wrote (116)1/25/2002 5:27:21 PM
From: JSLyons  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 127
 
Hello Tom. Perhaps I misunderstood, but it seems from my own reading of AIM that volatility, provided of course that it doesn't take a stock's value down to zero and keep it there, is the key to success.

As I have noted before, AIM will work LESS well with a stock than goes from 1 to 100 in a straight line than the old buy-and-hold approach. Of course, this never happens with my stocks!

While I agree that beaten-down issues that are fundamentally sound are good investment candidates, I am not convinced they are the best for AIM. Over time, AIM should smooth out missed entry points. Like the 1 to 100 example above, AIM will underperform at least at first as a fundamentally good stock returns to its norm from an unexpected or unexplained blow.

You allude to this yourself in NAUT, noting the Beta value is not ideal. That's just a different way of saying what I pointed out -- it's lack of volatility. I got the zigzag idea from Don Carlson on the Fool board and it appears to be an excellent part of a AIM screen.

I keep a close eye on your PIC lists, so keep up the good work.

Rgds,
Jonathan